Xiamen C&D Valuation

Is 600153 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600153 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600153 (CN¥9.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥4.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600153 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600153?

Key metric: As 600153 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 600153. This is calculated by dividing 600153's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 600153's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
EarningsCN¥2.74b
Market CapCN¥27.76b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 600153's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 600153 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13x
000415 Bohai Leasing
11.6xn/aCN¥23.5b
600546 Shanxi Coal International Energy GroupLtd
10.5x10.8%CN¥24.7b
601061 CITIC Metal
17.4x4.8%CN¥38.2b
603613 Beijing United Information TechnologyLtd
12.4xn/aCN¥19.2b
600153 Xiamen C&D
10.1x29.5%CN¥27.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 600153 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (13x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 600153's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
600153 10.1xIndustry Avg. 27.7xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 600153 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the CN Trade Distributors industry average (27.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600153's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600153 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ratio29.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 600153 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 600153 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥9.42
CN¥12.76
+35.4%
18.2%CN¥16.65CN¥11.00n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥9.57
CN¥12.76
+33.3%
18.2%CN¥16.65CN¥11.00n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥10.21
CN¥12.49
+22.3%
23.9%CN¥16.65CN¥9.82n/a3
Sep ’25CN¥7.29
CN¥12.49
+71.3%
23.9%CN¥16.65CN¥9.82n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥7.77
CN¥13.52
+74.0%
17.4%CN¥16.65CN¥11.00n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥9.05
CN¥13.52
+49.4%
17.4%CN¥16.65CN¥11.00n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥9.62
CN¥13.52
+40.5%
17.4%CN¥16.65CN¥11.00n/a3
May ’25CN¥9.95
CN¥13.52
+35.9%
17.4%CN¥16.65CN¥11.00n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥10.28
CN¥15.30
+48.8%
14.1%CN¥17.00CN¥12.25n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥10.32
CN¥15.30
+48.3%
14.1%CN¥17.00CN¥12.25n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥9.55
CN¥13.80
+44.5%
23.2%CN¥17.00CN¥9.30n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥9.63
CN¥13.19
+37.0%
23.8%CN¥17.00CN¥9.30n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥9.61
CN¥13.19
+37.3%
23.8%CN¥17.00CN¥9.30n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥9.82
CN¥13.19
+34.3%
23.8%CN¥17.00CN¥9.30CN¥9.573
Oct ’24CN¥9.92
CN¥13.69
+38.0%
23.6%CN¥17.00CN¥9.30CN¥10.213
Sep ’24CN¥10.76
CN¥12.04
+11.9%
22.8%CN¥14.78CN¥9.30CN¥7.292
Aug ’24CN¥11.40
CN¥13.38
+17.3%
30.5%CN¥17.45CN¥9.30CN¥7.772
Jul ’24CN¥10.91
CN¥17.05
+56.3%
2.3%CN¥17.45CN¥16.65CN¥9.052
Jun ’24CN¥11.12
CN¥17.05
+53.3%
2.3%CN¥17.45CN¥16.65CN¥9.622
May ’24CN¥12.13
CN¥17.05
+40.6%
2.3%CN¥17.45CN¥16.65CN¥9.952
Apr ’24CN¥12.07
CN¥17.02
+41.0%
2.2%CN¥17.39CN¥16.65CN¥10.282
Mar ’24CN¥13.21
CN¥17.44
+32.0%
4.5%CN¥18.23CN¥16.65CN¥10.322
Feb ’24CN¥13.17
CN¥17.44
+32.4%
4.5%CN¥18.23CN¥16.65CN¥9.552
Jan ’24CN¥13.65
CN¥16.01
+17.3%
4.0%CN¥16.65CN¥15.37CN¥9.632
Dec ’23CN¥15.29
CN¥16.01
+4.7%
4.0%CN¥16.65CN¥15.37CN¥9.612
Nov ’23CN¥11.96
CN¥16.01
+33.9%
4.0%CN¥16.65CN¥15.37CN¥9.822

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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