China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd.

XSSC:600036 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥948.0b

China Merchants Bank Valuation

Is 600036 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600036 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600036 (CN¥37.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥90.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600036 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600036?

Key metric: As 600036 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 600036. This is calculated by dividing 600036's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 600036's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.8x
EarningsCN¥141.34b
Market CapCN¥947.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 600036's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 600036 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.2x
601166 Industrial Bank
5.4x6.5%CN¥384.7b
600000 Shanghai Pudong Development Bank
7.3x10.0%CN¥281.2b
000001 Ping An Bank
5.2x5.7%CN¥225.5b
601818 China Everbright Bank
6.9x10.1%CN¥205.0b
600036 China Merchants Bank
6.8x6.4%CN¥948.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 600036 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (6.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 600036's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
600036 6.8xIndustry Avg. 5.9xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 600036 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the CN Banks industry average (5.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600036's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600036 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio6.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 600036 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 600036 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥37.91
CN¥44.94
+18.6%
10.2%CN¥54.50CN¥36.26n/a21
Dec ’25CN¥36.34
CN¥44.94
+23.7%
10.2%CN¥54.50CN¥36.26n/a21
Nov ’25CN¥38.01
CN¥44.12
+16.1%
11.7%CN¥54.50CN¥34.59n/a22
Oct ’25CN¥37.61
CN¥40.48
+7.6%
9.2%CN¥47.10CN¥33.68n/a22
Sep ’25CN¥32.15
CN¥40.74
+26.7%
9.8%CN¥47.10CN¥33.68n/a21
Aug ’25CN¥32.71
CN¥40.57
+24.0%
10.4%CN¥47.10CN¥32.00n/a22
Jul ’25CN¥34.36
CN¥40.48
+17.8%
10.3%CN¥47.10CN¥32.00n/a22
Jun ’25CN¥34.28
CN¥39.82
+16.1%
11.4%CN¥47.10CN¥28.81n/a23
May ’25CN¥34.31
CN¥38.88
+13.3%
12.8%CN¥47.10CN¥27.30n/a23
Apr ’25CN¥32.64
CN¥38.44
+17.8%
12.8%CN¥47.10CN¥27.30n/a22
Mar ’25CN¥31.94
CN¥38.90
+21.8%
13.7%CN¥47.10CN¥27.30n/a22
Feb ’25CN¥30.42
CN¥38.62
+27.0%
14.2%CN¥47.10CN¥27.30n/a22
Jan ’25CN¥27.82
CN¥39.64
+42.5%
14.6%CN¥50.00CN¥27.30n/a22
Dec ’24CN¥28.26
CN¥42.29
+49.7%
12.5%CN¥53.60CN¥29.51CN¥36.3422
Nov ’24CN¥30.45
CN¥42.47
+39.5%
11.9%CN¥53.60CN¥29.83CN¥38.0124
Oct ’24CN¥32.97
CN¥43.48
+31.9%
11.8%CN¥53.26CN¥31.44CN¥37.6125
Sep ’24CN¥32.27
CN¥44.43
+37.7%
12.7%CN¥56.50CN¥31.44CN¥32.1525
Aug ’24CN¥34.99
CN¥46.14
+31.9%
14.8%CN¥56.50CN¥26.30CN¥32.7126
Jul ’24CN¥32.76
CN¥46.97
+43.4%
17.0%CN¥66.20CN¥26.30CN¥34.3627
Jun ’24CN¥32.06
CN¥47.22
+47.3%
16.7%CN¥66.20CN¥26.30CN¥34.2827
May ’24CN¥33.60
CN¥47.76
+42.1%
17.1%CN¥66.20CN¥24.80CN¥34.3128
Apr ’24CN¥34.27
CN¥49.25
+43.7%
17.4%CN¥66.20CN¥24.80CN¥32.6427
Mar ’24CN¥38.25
CN¥50.13
+31.1%
19.0%CN¥68.27CN¥23.60CN¥31.9425
Feb ’24CN¥40.54
CN¥50.13
+23.7%
19.0%CN¥68.27CN¥23.60CN¥30.4225
Jan ’24CN¥37.26
CN¥45.42
+21.9%
19.1%CN¥62.00CN¥23.60CN¥27.8223
Dec ’23CN¥35.00
CN¥44.84
+28.1%
20.4%CN¥65.00CN¥19.20CN¥28.2623

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 13:19
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. is covered by 83 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yu Hang AuABCI Securities Company Limited
Yi GuoAvic Securities Co., Ltd
Meizhi YanBarclays