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Zhejiang Jindao Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301279) 39% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
The Zhejiang Jindao Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301279) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 39%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 18% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, Zhejiang Jindao Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
For instance, Zhejiang Jindao Technology's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Jindao Technology
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Jindao Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Growth For Zhejiang Jindao Technology?
Zhejiang Jindao Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 39% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 49% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's alarming that Zhejiang Jindao Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has got Zhejiang Jindao Technology's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Zhejiang Jindao Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Zhejiang Jindao Technology (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhejiang Jindao Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:301279
Zhejiang Jindao Technology
Engages in the research and development, production, and sales of transmission devices for various types of forklifts and other industrial vehicles in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet unattractive dividend payer.