Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 002406 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

002406 (CN¥6.43) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥1.03)

Is 002406 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002406 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002406 (CN¥6.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥1.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002406 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002406?

Key metric: As 002406 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002406. This is calculated by dividing 002406's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002406's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	39.7x
Earnings	CN¥118.28m
Market Cap	CN¥4.70b

002406 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	18.1x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002406's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002406 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	76.8x
603166 GUILIN FUDALtd	26.9x	n/a	CN¥4.3b
603178 Ningbo Shenglong Automotive Powertrain SystemLtd	206.6x	n/a	CN¥5.1b
600081 Dongfeng Electronic TechnologyLtd	43.7x	n/a	CN¥5.7b
600523 Guizhou Guihang Automotive ComponentsLtd	29.8x	n/a	CN¥5.1b
002406 Xuchang Yuandong Drive ShaftLtd	39.7x	n/a	CN¥4.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002406 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.7x) compared to the peer average (76.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002406's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Auto Components Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
002684 Dynavolt Renewable Energy Technology (Henan)	0.6x	n/a	US$58.50m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002406 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.7x) compared to the CN Auto Components industry average (30.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002406's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002406 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	39.7x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 002406's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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