Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Zhejiang Yinlun Machinery Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002126) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd
What Is Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd had CN¥3.52b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥3.73b, one year before. However, it also had CN¥2.57b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥954.3m.
A Look At Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd had liabilities of CN¥9.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.39b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.57b in cash and CN¥6.05b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.94b.
Given Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥29.1b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.62. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 47.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd grew its EBIT by 40% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Happily, Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002126
Zhejiang Yinlun MachineryLtd
Engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and sale of various thermal management and exhaust gas post-treatment products.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.