KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Co., Ltd.

SHSE:603786 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥22.7b

KEBODA TECHNOLOGY Valuation

Is 603786 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 603786 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 603786 (CN¥59.26) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥14.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 603786 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 603786?

Key metric: As 603786 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 603786. This is calculated by dividing 603786's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 603786's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.9x
EarningsCN¥760.32m
Market CapCN¥22.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 603786's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 603786 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.1x
300432 Fulin Precision
113.6x66.7%CN¥19.2b
002472 Zhejiang Shuanghuan DrivelineLtd
25.2x19.9%CN¥23.2b
603179 Jiangsu Xinquan Automotive TrimLtd
24.5x28.1%CN¥22.6b
603596 Bethel Automotive Safety Systems
25x25.3%CN¥26.3b
603786 KEBODA TECHNOLOGY
31.3x26.3%CN¥22.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 603786 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the peer average (47.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 603786's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002684 Dynavolt Renewable Energy Technology (Henan)
0.6xn/aUS$58.50m
No more companies available in this PE range
603786 29.9xIndustry Avg. 31.1xNo. of Companies25PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 603786 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the CN Auto Components industry average (31.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 603786's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

603786 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.9x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 603786 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 603786 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥59.26
CN¥78.76
+32.9%
8.1%CN¥86.49CN¥70.30n/a5
Nov ’25CN¥57.06
CN¥75.10
+31.6%
16.7%CN¥86.49CN¥51.99n/a5
Oct ’25CN¥61.27
CN¥65.40
+6.7%
16.0%CN¥83.00CN¥51.99n/a5
Sep ’25CN¥44.73
CN¥71.50
+59.8%
14.7%CN¥83.00CN¥60.40n/a4
Aug ’25CN¥49.85
CN¥86.39
+73.3%
5.1%CN¥92.00CN¥81.00n/a4
Jul ’25CN¥63.68
CN¥85.91
+34.9%
4.7%CN¥92.00CN¥81.00n/a5
Jun ’25CN¥69.58
CN¥85.91
+23.5%
4.7%CN¥92.00CN¥81.00n/a5
May ’25CN¥72.55
CN¥85.91
+18.4%
4.7%CN¥92.00CN¥81.00n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥62.60
CN¥82.39
+31.6%
9.7%CN¥90.00CN¥67.86n/a5
Mar ’25CN¥66.10
CN¥82.39
+24.6%
9.7%CN¥90.00CN¥67.86n/a5
Feb ’25CN¥53.93
CN¥82.39
+52.8%
9.7%CN¥90.00CN¥67.86n/a5
Jan ’25CN¥71.36
CN¥80.05
+12.2%
9.2%CN¥89.10CN¥67.00n/a5
Dec ’24CN¥73.58
CN¥80.05
+8.8%
9.2%CN¥89.10CN¥67.00CN¥56.675
Nov ’24CN¥70.10
CN¥80.05
+14.2%
9.2%CN¥89.10CN¥67.00CN¥57.065
Oct ’24CN¥73.19
CN¥79.92
+9.2%
13.5%CN¥91.48CN¥63.00CN¥61.275
Sep ’24CN¥79.00
CN¥75.93
-3.9%
20.6%CN¥98.55CN¥57.00CN¥44.735
Aug ’24CN¥78.70
CN¥69.57
-11.6%
11.0%CN¥78.54CN¥57.00CN¥49.856
Jul ’24CN¥65.70
CN¥69.57
+5.9%
11.0%CN¥78.54CN¥57.00CN¥63.686
Jun ’24CN¥53.15
CN¥69.57
+30.9%
11.0%CN¥78.54CN¥57.00CN¥69.586
May ’24CN¥53.54
CN¥70.39
+31.5%
10.9%CN¥80.41CN¥57.00CN¥72.556
Apr ’24CN¥58.59
CN¥77.34
+32.0%
9.8%CN¥89.20CN¥66.00CN¥62.605
Mar ’24CN¥64.73
CN¥77.34
+19.5%
9.8%CN¥89.20CN¥66.00CN¥66.105
Feb ’24CN¥68.22
CN¥77.34
+13.4%
9.8%CN¥89.20CN¥66.00CN¥53.935
Jan ’24CN¥65.83
CN¥77.34
+17.5%
9.8%CN¥89.20CN¥66.00CN¥71.365
Dec ’23CN¥69.50
CN¥75.43
+8.5%
11.3%CN¥89.20CN¥66.00CN¥73.584

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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