Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That NBTM New Materials Group (SHSE:600114) Is Using Debt Extensively

SHSE:600114
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, NBTM New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600114) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for NBTM New Materials Group

What Is NBTM New Materials Group's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NBTM New Materials Group had CN¥3.04b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥280.3m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.76b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600114 Debt to Equity History March 6th 2024

How Healthy Is NBTM New Materials Group's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NBTM New Materials Group had liabilities of CN¥1.40b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.41b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥280.3m in cash and CN¥1.32b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.20b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because NBTM New Materials Group is worth CN¥8.54b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.1, it's fair to say NBTM New Materials Group does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.6 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. On a lighter note, we note that NBTM New Materials Group grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NBTM New Materials Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, NBTM New Materials Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Both NBTM New Materials Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its net debt to EBITDA were discouraging. But on the brighter side of life, its EBIT growth rate leaves us feeling more frolicsome. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that NBTM New Materials Group is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for NBTM New Materials Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NBTM New Materials Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.