Engie Energia Chile Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ECL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ECL (CLP910) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CLP644.66)

Is ECL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ECL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ECL (CLP910) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CLP644.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ECL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ECL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for ECL. This is calculated by dividing ECL's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is ECL's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$981.17m

ECL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.7x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ECL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ECL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.9x
CGE Compañía General de Electricidad	0.2x	n/a	CL$616.4b
ENELDXCH Enel Distribucion Chile	0.3x	n/a	CL$563.9b
PEHUENCHE Empresa Eléctrica Pehuenche	6.4x	n/a	CL$1.6t
ENELCHILE Enel Chile	0.8x	-3.0%	CL$3.6t
ECL Engie Energia Chile	0.5x	-8.6%	CL$958.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ECL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ECL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Electric Utilities Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	4.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	4.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ECL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the South American Electric Utilities industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ECL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ECL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.5x
Fair PS Ratio	0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ECL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ECL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CL$910.00	CL$998.77 +9.8%	13.9%	CL$1,173.95	CL$781.35	n/a	6
Oct ’25	CL$880.00	CL$954.84 +8.5%	13.6%	CL$1,122.68	CL$752.74	n/a	6
Sep ’25	CL$874.00	CL$960.22 +9.9%	13.2%	CL$1,164.80	CL$780.98	n/a	5
Aug ’25	CL$865.00	CL$960.22 +11.0%	13.2%	CL$1,164.80	CL$780.98	n/a	5
Jul ’25	CL$841.40	CL$919.35 +9.3%	11.0%	CL$1,017.28	CL$740.83	n/a	5
Jun ’25	CL$850.00	CL$943.45 +11.0%	11.6%	CL$1,066.05	CL$776.34	n/a	4
May ’25	CL$788.00	CL$955.19 +21.2%	10.7%	CL$1,073.39	CL$800.76	n/a	4
Apr ’25	CL$790.08	CL$984.73 +24.6%	10.9%	CL$1,111.59	CL$829.25	n/a	4
Mar ’25	CL$821.00	CL$984.73 +19.9%	10.9%	CL$1,111.59	CL$829.25	n/a	4
Feb ’25	CL$850.00	CL$917.54 +7.9%	11.1%	CL$1,049.52	CL$782.95	n/a	5
Jan ’25	CL$920.00	CL$884.19 -3.9%	11.0%	CL$1,042.53	CL$766.44	n/a	5
Dec ’24	CL$829.99	CL$884.19 +6.5%	11.0%	CL$1,042.53	CL$766.44	n/a	5
Nov ’24	CL$798.14	CL$907.73 +13.7%	8.1%	CL$1,035.18	CL$819.98	CL$895.00	5
Oct ’24	CL$816.99	CL$859.76 +5.2%	6.0%	CL$951.46	CL$806.67	CL$880.00	5
Sep ’24	CL$838.03	CL$859.76 +2.6%	6.0%	CL$951.46	CL$806.67	CL$874.00	5
Aug ’24	CL$870.00	CL$844.22 -3.0%	7.6%	CL$963.00	CL$785.16	CL$865.00	5
Jul ’24	CL$768.21	CL$803.02 +4.5%	3.1%	CL$832.38	CL$773.67	CL$841.40	4
Jun ’24	CL$703.17	CL$937.38 +33.3%	23.8%	CL$1,321.66	CL$773.38	CL$850.00	4
May ’24	CL$624.98	CL$933.30 +49.3%	24.0%	CL$1,318.73	CL$763.65	CL$788.00	4
Apr ’24	CL$584.00	CL$930.45 +59.3%	26.6%	CL$1,356.35	CL$745.48	CL$790.08	4
Mar ’24	CL$519.92	CL$971.27 +86.8%	26.3%	CL$1,409.52	CL$774.70	CL$821.00	4
Feb ’24	CL$486.50	CL$873.15 +79.5%	15.6%	CL$1,107.15	CL$773.72	CL$850.00	4
Jan ’24	CL$490.00	CL$950.95 +94.1%	19.6%	CL$1,221.25	CL$774.58	CL$920.00	4
Dec ’23	CL$468.64	CL$950.95 +102.9%	19.6%	CL$1,221.25	CL$774.58	CL$829.99	4
Nov ’23	CL$554.01	CL$1,005.90 +81.6%	20.3%	CL$1,300.01	CL$812.27	CL$798.14	4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.