Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That CGE Gas Natural (SNSE:CGEGAS) Is Using Debt Extensively

SNSE:NTGCLGAS
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, CGE Gas Natural S.A. (SNSE:CGEGAS) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for CGE Gas Natural

What Is CGE Gas Natural's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 CGE Gas Natural had CL$480.7b of debt, an increase on CL$391.8b, over one year. However, it does have CL$185.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CL$295.2b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:CGEGAS Debt to Equity History December 21st 2020

How Healthy Is CGE Gas Natural's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that CGE Gas Natural had liabilities of CL$144.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CL$799.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CL$185.6b as well as receivables valued at CL$79.4b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CL$679.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CL$447.7b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, CGE Gas Natural would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6, CGE Gas Natural uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 9.0 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Fortunately, CGE Gas Natural grew its EBIT by 2.1% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CGE Gas Natural will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CGE Gas Natural recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

CGE Gas Natural's struggle to handle its total liabilities had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. It's also worth noting that CGE Gas Natural is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that CGE Gas Natural is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for CGE Gas Natural (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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