Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies CGE Gas Natural S.A. (SNSE:CGEGAS) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for CGE Gas Natural
What Is CGE Gas Natural's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 CGE Gas Natural had debt of CL$469.8b, up from CL$440.5b in one year. However, it does have CL$103.2b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CL$366.6b.
How Healthy Is CGE Gas Natural's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CGE Gas Natural had liabilities of CL$254.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CL$728.3b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CL$103.2b and CL$156.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CL$722.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CL$257.1b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, CGE Gas Natural would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
We'd say that CGE Gas Natural's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.9), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 14.7 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Notably CGE Gas Natural's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CGE Gas Natural will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, CGE Gas Natural generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 89% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about CGE Gas Natural's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow were encouraging signs. We should also note that Gas Utilities industry companies like CGE Gas Natural commonly do use debt without problems. We think that CGE Gas Natural's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for CGE Gas Natural (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SNSE:NTGCLGAS
Naturgy Chile Gas Natural
Engages in the distribution, supply, and transportation of natural gas in Chile and Argentina.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.