Advanced Micro Devices Valuation

Is AMD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMD ($141.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($192.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMD?

Key metric: As AMD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMD. This is calculated by dividing AMD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	123x
Earnings	US$1.83b
Market Cap	US$224.52b

AMD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	9.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	49.6x
PEG Ratio	3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	32.5x
QCOM QUALCOMM	17.2x	7.1%	US$174.2b
TXN Texas Instruments	36.6x	15.3%	US$180.6b
ADI Analog Devices	64.4x	25.7%	US$106.5b
A000660 SK hynix	11.7x	35.3%	₩121.6t
AMD Advanced Micro Devices	123x	40.5%	US$224.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (123x) compared to the peer average (32.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Semiconductor Industry?

15 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

15 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (123x) compared to the Global Semiconductor industry average (31.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	123x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AMD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	US$141.89	US$185.03 +30.4%	11.4%	US$250.00	US$146.00	n/a	44
Nov ’25	US$164.05	US$186.06 +13.4%	11.0%	US$250.00	US$146.00	n/a	43
Oct ’25	US$153.50	US$186.91 +21.8%	12.1%	US$250.00	US$140.00	n/a	43
Sep ’25	US$148.07	US$187.24 +26.5%	11.7%	US$250.00	US$140.00	n/a	43
Aug ’25	US$182.18	US$189.49 +4.0%	11.2%	US$250.00	US$140.00	n/a	42
Jul ’25	n/a	US$189.02 0%	13.1%	US$250.00	US$125.00	n/a	42
Jun ’25	n/a	US$187.95 0%	13.5%	US$250.00	US$125.00	n/a	43
May ’25	n/a	US$189.07 0%	13.8%	US$250.00	US$125.00	n/a	43
Apr ’25	n/a	US$196.09 0%	15.4%	US$270.00	US$135.00	n/a	43
Mar ’25	n/a	US$192.44 0%	14.0%	US$270.00	US$135.00	n/a	43
Feb ’25	n/a	US$184.89 0%	15.7%	US$270.00	US$125.00	n/a	43
Jan ’25	n/a	US$136.37 0%	14.7%	US$200.00	US$98.00	n/a	43
Dec ’24	n/a	US$132.24 0%	15.1%	US$200.00	US$98.00	n/a	42
Nov ’24	n/a	US$131.77 0%	15.4%	US$200.00	US$98.00	US$164.05	42
Oct ’24	n/a	US$140.81 0%	13.5%	US$200.00	US$95.00	US$153.50	41
Sep ’24	n/a	US$139.99 0%	14.1%	US$200.00	US$95.00	US$148.07	41
Aug ’24	n/a	US$134.31 0%	18.4%	US$200.00	US$84.00	US$182.18	41
Jul ’24	n/a	US$131.30 0%	21.0%	US$200.00	US$80.00	n/a	39
Jun ’24	n/a	US$107.10 0%	23.6%	US$200.00	US$77.00	n/a	39
May ’24	n/a	US$99.37 0%	22.5%	US$200.00	US$68.00	n/a	37
Apr ’24	n/a	US$96.76 0%	23.8%	US$200.00	US$67.00	n/a	38
Mar ’24	n/a	US$93.16 0%	23.8%	US$200.00	US$67.00	n/a	36
Feb ’24	n/a	US$91.39 0%	24.5%	US$200.00	US$65.00	n/a	36
Jan ’24	n/a	US$89.43 0%	26.6%	US$200.00	US$60.00	n/a	37
Dec ’23	n/a	US$89.45 0%	26.4%	US$200.00	US$60.00	n/a	38
Nov ’23	n/a	US$92.51 0%	26.8%	US$200.00	US$60.00	n/a	37

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.