Parque Arauco (SNSE:PARAUCO) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of PARAUCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

PARAUCO (CLP1455) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CLP1710.76)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PARAUCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PARAUCO (CLP1455) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CLP1710.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PARAUCO is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PARAUCO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for PARAUCO. This is calculated by dividing PARAUCO's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is PARAUCO's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CL$1.28t

PARAUCO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	9.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.7x
PEG Ratio	3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PARAUCO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PARAUCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	10.1x
CENCOSHOPP Cencosud Shopping	11.8x	4.3%	CL$2.5t
MALLPLAZA Plaza	7.9x	-24.3%	CL$2.8t
ZOFRI Zona Franca de Iquique	10.2x	n/a	CL$179.6b
UNESPA Inversiones Unespa	10.5x	n/a	CL$7.7b
PARAUCO Parque Arauco	11.3x	3.7%	CL$1.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PARAUCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PARAUCO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Real Estate Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	-8.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	-8.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PARAUCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the South American Real Estate industry average (8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PARAUCO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PARAUCO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.3x
Fair PE Ratio	11.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PARAUCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PARAUCO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CL$1,455.00	CL$1,618.30 +11.2%	10.7%	CL$1,900.00	CL$1,300.00	n/a	10
May ’25	CL$1,445.00	CL$1,618.30 +12.0%	10.7%	CL$1,900.00	CL$1,300.00	n/a	10
Apr ’25	CL$1,421.00	CL$1,618.30 +13.9%	10.7%	CL$1,900.00	CL$1,300.00	n/a	10
Mar ’25	CL$1,537.40	CL$1,573.30 +2.3%	10.3%	CL$1,800.00	CL$1,300.00	n/a	10
Feb ’25	CL$1,500.00	CL$1,578.40 +5.2%	10.1%	CL$1,800.00	CL$1,300.00	n/a	10
Jan ’25	CL$1,420.00	CL$1,539.10 +8.4%	9.7%	CL$1,800.00	CL$1,300.00	n/a	10
Dec ’24	CL$1,312.90	CL$1,539.10 +17.2%	9.7%	CL$1,800.00	CL$1,300.00	n/a	10
Nov ’24	CL$1,223.00	CL$1,486.10 +21.5%	9.4%	CL$1,700.00	CL$1,270.00	n/a	10
Oct ’24	CL$1,277.70	CL$1,484.90 +16.2%	9.4%	CL$1,700.00	CL$1,270.00	n/a	10
Sep ’24	CL$1,227.00	CL$1,419.90 +15.7%	7.0%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,270.00	n/a	10
Aug ’24	CL$1,330.00	CL$1,429.90 +7.5%	8.3%	CL$1,700.00	CL$1,270.00	n/a	10
Jul ’24	CL$1,289.00	CL$1,400.00 +8.6%	8.9%	CL$1,700.00	CL$1,258.00	n/a	10
Jun ’24	CL$1,130.00	CL$1,390.00 +23.0%	7.3%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,258.00	n/a	10
May ’24	CL$1,144.00	CL$1,340.60 +17.2%	11.3%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,000.00	CL$1,445.00	10
Apr ’24	CL$1,130.00	CL$1,314.89 +16.4%	12.7%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,000.00	CL$1,421.00	9
Mar ’24	CL$1,049.00	CL$1,303.78 +24.3%	12.6%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,000.00	CL$1,537.40	9
Feb ’24	CL$1,030.30	CL$1,286.56 +24.9%	13.5%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,000.00	CL$1,500.00	9
Jan ’24	CL$1,081.90	CL$1,202.78 +11.2%	16.8%	CL$1,600.00	CL$942.00	CL$1,420.00	9
Dec ’23	CL$967.00	CL$1,202.78 +24.4%	16.8%	CL$1,600.00	CL$942.00	CL$1,312.90	9
Nov ’23	CL$799.38	CL$1,243.50 +55.6%	17.4%	CL$1,600.00	CL$942.00	CL$1,223.00	10
Oct ’23	CL$840.00	CL$1,241.50 +47.8%	16.8%	CL$1,600.00	CL$942.00	CL$1,277.70	10
Sep ’23	CL$950.00	CL$1,221.50 +28.6%	18.1%	CL$1,600.00	CL$942.00	CL$1,227.00	10
Aug ’23	CL$762.52	CL$1,226.90 +60.9%	17.8%	CL$1,600.00	CL$942.00	CL$1,330.00	10
Jul ’23	CL$706.69	CL$1,272.00 +80.0%	15.3%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,000.00	CL$1,289.00	10
Jun ’23	CL$772.95	CL$1,287.20 +66.5%	15.1%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,000.00	CL$1,130.00	10
May ’23	CL$716.17	CL$1,297.20 +81.1%	13.9%	CL$1,600.00	CL$1,030.00	CL$1,144.00	10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Parque Arauco Valuation