Newmont Valuation

Is NEMCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NEMCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NEMCL (CLP42500) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CLP45450.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NEMCL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NEMCL?

Key metric: As NEMCL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for NEMCL. This is calculated by dividing NEMCL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is NEMCL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.9x
SalesUS$16.99b
Market CapUS$49.17b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NEMCL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NEMCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.2x
2899 Zijin Mining Group
1.2x9.7%HK$438.7b
AEM Agnico Eagle Mines
5.4x3.5%US$41.8b
ABX Barrick Gold
2.6x8.2%CA$44.2b
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals
23.8x9.2%CA$40.2b
NEMCL Newmont
2.9x5.3%CL$49.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NEMCL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x) compared to the peer average (8.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does NEMCL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEMCL 2.9xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies10PS00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NEMCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NEMCL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NEMCL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NEMCL's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NEMCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$42,500.00
CL$56,038.54
+31.9%
12.6%CL$70,848.76CL$43,830.00n/a18
Nov ’25CL$54,900.00
CL$55,396.23
+0.9%
12.6%CL$69,901.69CL$43,244.10n/a18
Oct ’25CL$47,950.00
CL$51,970.36
+8.4%
12.1%CL$61,080.74CL$40,690.35n/a17
Sep ’25CL$45,451.00
CL$49,147.45
+8.1%
10.6%CL$56,408.53CL$35,407.91n/a19
Aug ’25CL$45,451.00
CL$49,814.48
+9.6%
10.7%CL$58,086.03CL$36,460.89n/a20
Jul ’25n/a
CL$47,205.92
0%
9.5%CL$55,366.80CL$36,551.63n/a20
Jun ’25n/a
CL$43,618.10
0%
9.2%CL$49,223.16CL$34,902.87n/a20
May ’25n/a
CL$44,686.02
0%
9.3%CL$51,860.52CL$36,772.95n/a21
Apr ’25CL$41,500.00
CL$44,266.79
+6.7%
14.7%CL$58,792.20CL$32,639.47n/a21
Mar ’25CL$41,500.00
CL$45,303.56
+9.2%
13.3%CL$58,665.00CL$35,199.00n/a20
Feb ’25CL$41,500.00
CL$45,732.51
+10.2%
11.4%CL$55,924.80CL$36,351.12n/a20
Jan ’25CL$41,500.00
CL$44,157.42
+6.4%
13.7%CL$55,302.14CL$34,260.57n/a20
Dec ’24CL$41,500.00
CL$42,353.24
+2.1%
13.1%CL$51,436.80CL$32,928.12n/a19
Nov ’24n/a
CL$45,208.19
0%
13.1%CL$54,442.80CL$34,480.44CL$54,900.0018
Oct ’24CL$41,500.00
CL$47,453.82
+14.3%
11.0%CL$56,078.19CL$37,385.46CL$47,950.0018
Sep ’24CL$41,500.00
CL$46,384.49
+11.8%
11.2%CL$54,083.61CL$36,055.74CL$45,451.0019
Aug ’24n/a
CL$45,607.42
0%
9.1%CL$52,211.25CL$36,465.00CL$45,451.0019
Jul ’24n/a
CL$45,937.24
0%
11.3%CL$53,750.75CL$35,146.57n/a20
Jun ’24n/a
CL$46,562.58
0%
11.0%CL$54,254.59CL$34,512.40n/a20
May ’24n/a
CL$46,054.02
0%
10.6%CL$54,085.75CL$34,518.01n/a20
Apr ’24n/a
CL$44,857.28
0%
9.8%CL$55,536.60CL$38,082.24CL$41,500.0019
Mar ’24n/a
CL$47,267.08
0%
8.3%CL$58,303.00CL$41,645.00CL$41,500.0019
Feb ’24n/a
CL$44,553.54
0%
7.6%CL$50,954.24CL$36,623.36CL$41,500.0019
Jan ’24n/a
CL$46,319.96
0%
11.5%CL$55,753.60CL$33,974.85CL$41,500.0019
Dec ’23n/a
CL$47,339.05
0%
11.8%CL$57,173.12CL$34,839.87CL$41,500.0018
Nov ’23n/a
CL$52,229.16
0%
16.5%CL$75,322.14CL$36,941.19n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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