McDonald's Corporation

SNSE:MCDCL Stock Report

Market Cap: CL$207.5t

McDonald's Valuation

Is MCDCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCDCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MCDCL (CLP235850) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CLP235894.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCDCL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCDCL?

Key metric: As MCDCL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MCDCL. This is calculated by dividing MCDCL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MCDCL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.4x
EarningsUS$8.25b
Market CapUS$209.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MCDCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MCDCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.9x
SBUX Starbucks
26.5x10.1%US$100.6b
3690 Meituan
27.8x21.4%HK$940.5b
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill
56.8x15.5%US$84.2b
CPG Compass Group
40.3x16.9%UK£44.9b
MCDCL McDonald's
25.2x6.6%CL$208.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MCDCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the peer average (37.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MCDCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MCDCL 25.4xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MCDCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x) compared to the South American Hospitality industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCDCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCDCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MCDCL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MCDCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$235,850.00
CL$318,494.04
+35.0%
6.6%CL$356,626.80CL$277,376.40n/a32
Dec ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$305,154.74
+29.4%
6.6%CL$341,690.40CL$265,759.20n/a32
Nov ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$308,160.98
+30.7%
6.6%CL$345,560.40CL$268,769.20n/a32
Oct ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$276,246.36
+17.1%
7.1%CL$328,816.80CL$234,738.66n/a32
Sep ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$268,559.65
+13.9%
6.4%CL$310,457.34CL$233,296.89n/a31
Aug ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$280,834.37
+19.1%
6.3%CL$325,724.22CL$244,769.37n/a31
Jul ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$292,016.95
+23.8%
5.7%CL$336,154.77CL$268,358.85n/a31
Jun ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$279,958.16
+18.7%
6.3%CL$320,204.01CL$255,625.05n/a30
May ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$303,525.00
+28.7%
6.2%CL$342,855.66CL$273,708.30n/a31
Apr ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$320,805.75
+36.0%
4.7%CL$351,609.30CL$285,621.00n/a31
Mar ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$319,004.68
+35.3%
4.5%CL$349,056.75CL$292,347.25n/a32
Feb ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$300,709.70
+27.5%
6.4%CL$356,201.49CL$260,408.40n/a33
Jan ’25CL$235,850.00
CL$277,509.36
+17.7%
6.3%CL$336,787.22CL$246,215.20n/a34
Dec ’24CL$235,850.00
CL$268,542.91
+13.9%
7.2%CL$333,573.85CL$235,156.50CL$235,850.0033
Nov ’24CL$235,850.00
CL$275,911.71
+17.0%
7.4%CL$343,405.46CL$242,087.40CL$235,850.0033
Oct ’24CL$235,850.00
CL$290,260.52
+23.1%
5.3%CL$338,323.05CL$251,754.75CL$235,850.0032
Sep ’24CL$235,850.00
CL$285,789.24
+21.2%
5.1%CL$333,746.20CL$248,349.00CL$235,850.0032
Aug ’24CL$235,850.00
CL$274,521.80
+16.4%
5.4%CL$321,279.55CL$239,072.25CL$235,850.0033
Jul ’24CL$224,700.00
CL$253,969.51
+13.0%
5.0%CL$278,038.68CL$208,930.80CL$235,850.0033
Jun ’24CL$224,700.00
CL$254,003.96
+13.0%
5.0%CL$277,855.30CL$208,793.00CL$235,850.0032
May ’24CL$224,700.00
CL$253,637.22
+12.9%
5.4%CL$279,308.50CL$209,885.00CL$235,850.0033
Apr ’24CL$224,700.00
CL$232,672.82
+3.5%
6.0%CL$261,815.40CL$190,411.20CL$235,850.0032
Mar ’24CL$224,700.00
CL$233,259.61
+3.8%
5.8%CL$261,839.12CL$191,589.60CL$235,850.0033
Feb ’24CL$224,700.00
CL$230,164.19
+2.4%
5.9%CL$257,988.40CL$188,772.00CL$235,850.0032
Jan ’24n/a
CL$252,915.06
0%
6.3%CL$286,504.72CL$215,752.03CL$235,850.0033
Dec ’23n/a
CL$257,506.73
0%
6.2%CL$292,733.44CL$220,442.56CL$235,850.0034

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 08:17
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

McDonald's Corporation is covered by 67 analysts. 31 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jim MarroneAccountability Research Corporation
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird