Stock Analysis

Does Socovesa (SNSE:SOCOVESA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SNSE:SOCOVESA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Socovesa S.A. (SNSE:SOCOVESA) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Socovesa

How Much Debt Does Socovesa Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Socovesa had debt of CL$542.4b, up from CL$486.1b in one year. However, it also had CL$86.6b in cash, and so its net debt is CL$455.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:SOCOVESA Debt to Equity History January 5th 2021

How Strong Is Socovesa's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Socovesa had liabilities of CL$658.7b due within 12 months and liabilities of CL$28.0b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CL$86.6b in cash and CL$98.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CL$501.2b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CL$242.3b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Socovesa would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

As it happens Socovesa has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.8 but very strong interest coverage of 66.5. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. It is well worth noting that Socovesa's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 35% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Socovesa's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Socovesa burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Socovesa's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Socovesa to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Socovesa (including 2 which are concerning) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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