Deutsche Post AG

BRSE:DPW Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 36.3b

Deutsche Post Valuation

Is DPW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DPW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DPW (CHF30.91) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF85.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DPW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DPW?

Key metric: As DPW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DPW. This is calculated by dividing DPW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DPW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.1x
Earnings€3.22b
Market Cap€38.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DPW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DPW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
KNIN Kuehne + Nagel International
20.9x7.0%CHF 24.0b
DSV DSV
32.8x15.9%DKK 353.5b
FDX FedEx
17.1x13.2%US$66.4b
002352 S.F. Holding
20.3x13.0%CN¥194.9b
DPW Deutsche Post
12.1x8.8%CHF 38.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DPW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (22.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DPW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DPW 12.1xIndustry Avg. 13.5xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DPW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DPW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DPW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DPW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DPW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 31.20
CHF 38.97
+24.9%
10.1%CHF 46.59CHF 33.54n/a17
Dec ’25CHF 32.28
CHF 39.69
+23.0%
10.6%CHF 46.79CHF 33.69n/a17
Nov ’25CHF 35.32
CHF 40.61
+15.0%
10.4%CHF 46.96CHF 33.81n/a17
Oct ’25CHF 36.40
CHF 41.40
+13.7%
11.1%CHF 48.24CHF 34.05n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 40.86
0%
10.0%CHF 47.49CHF 33.52n/a15
Aug ’25CHF 39.06
CHF 42.31
+8.3%
7.3%CHF 48.08CHF 37.71n/a15
Jul ’25CHF 37.14
CHF 44.52
+19.9%
7.8%CHF 51.35CHF 39.50n/a15
Jun ’25CHF 38.06
CHF 44.52
+17.0%
7.8%CHF 51.35CHF 39.50n/a15
May ’25CHF 38.69
CHF 45.44
+17.4%
9.2%CHF 53.97CHF 39.25n/a14
Apr ’25CHF 38.94
CHF 44.59
+14.5%
10.8%CHF 53.51CHF 36.38n/a14
Mar ’25CHF 40.82
CHF 46.20
+13.2%
11.1%CHF 55.91CHF 38.85n/a15
Feb ’25CHF 41.50
CHF 45.29
+9.1%
11.0%CHF 55.34CHF 38.46n/a15
Jan ’25CHF 41.97
CHF 45.72
+8.9%
11.5%CHF 58.71CHF 38.82n/a15
Dec ’24CHF 41.69
CHF 44.85
+7.6%
12.7%CHF 59.80CHF 33.56CHF 32.2815
Nov ’24CHF 34.90
CHF 45.67
+30.9%
12.2%CHF 59.48CHF 34.92CHF 35.3215
Oct ’24CHF 36.68
CHF 46.54
+26.9%
14.1%CHF 60.97CHF 35.23CHF 36.4015
Sep ’24CHF 41.66
CHF 47.22
+13.3%
14.2%CHF 60.46CHF 35.60n/a15
Aug ’24CHF 44.26
CHF 47.01
+6.2%
15.0%CHF 60.56CHF 35.66CHF 39.0615
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 47.54
0%
15.4%CHF 61.52CHF 35.84CHF 37.1415
Jun ’24CHF 41.13
CHF 47.16
+14.7%
14.9%CHF 61.22CHF 37.41CHF 38.0615
May ’24CHF 41.25
CHF 46.75
+13.3%
14.4%CHF 62.77CHF 37.27CHF 38.6915
Apr ’24CHF 41.73
CHF 45.95
+10.1%
18.3%CHF 63.51CHF 25.70CHF 38.9416
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 45.74
0%
20.1%CHF 63.52CHF 25.71CHF 40.8216
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 47.06
0%
18.1%CHF 64.13CHF 25.95CHF 41.5016
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 47.27
0%
19.0%CHF 63.35CHF 25.64CHF 41.9717
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 48.46
0%
19.9%CHF 63.10CHF 25.54CHF 41.6917

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 13:31
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Deutsche Post AG is covered by 49 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Heinz SteffenAlphaValue
Christian ObstBaader Helvea Equity Research
Arancha PiñeiroBanco de Sabadell. S.A.