Is ALSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6
Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ALSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ALSN (CHF236.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF315.93)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ALSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALSN?
Key metric: As ALSN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALSN. This is calculated by dividing ALSN's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is ALSN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
27.5x
Earnings
€112.79m
Market Cap
€3.10b
ALSN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the European Electronic industry average (18x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ALSN's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
ALSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
27.5x
Fair PE Ratio
28.9x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALSN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst ALSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
CHF 236.50
CHF 296.32
+25.3%
10.0%
CHF 340.07
CHF 260.32
n/a
4
Nov ’25
CHF 229.50
CHF 282.19
+23.0%
6.4%
CHF 305.17
CHF 260.74
n/a
3
Oct ’25
CHF 267.50
CHF 275.49
+3.0%
3.4%
CHF 282.25
CHF 262.09
n/a
3
Sep ’25
CHF 254.50
CHF 276.32
+8.6%
2.7%
CHF 285.02
CHF 264.67
n/a
4
Aug ’25
CHF 266.50
CHF 276.32
+3.7%
2.7%
CHF 285.02
CHF 264.67
n/a
4
Jul ’25
CHF 277.00
CHF 291.65
+5.3%
5.4%
CHF 313.22
CHF 269.90
n/a
4
Jun ’25
CHF 262.00
CHF 291.65
+11.3%
5.4%
CHF 313.22
CHF 269.90
n/a
4
May ’25
CHF 227.00
CHF 282.73
+24.6%
4.2%
CHF 300.71
CHF 270.02
n/a
4
Apr ’25
CHF 234.00
CHF 282.73
+20.8%
4.2%
CHF 300.71
CHF 270.02
n/a
4
Mar ’25
CHF 233.00
CHF 282.73
+21.3%
4.2%
CHF 300.71
CHF 270.02
n/a
4
Feb ’25
CHF 256.50
CHF 284.54
+10.9%
3.7%
CHF 296.89
CHF 269.73
n/a
4
Jan ’25
CHF 251.00
CHF 277.00
+10.4%
4.6%
CHF 297.38
CHF 258.62
n/a
5
Dec ’24
CHF 241.50
CHF 267.24
+10.7%
8.1%
CHF 297.20
CHF 232.18
n/a
5
Nov ’24
CHF 232.50
CHF 269.26
+15.8%
8.1%
CHF 300.62
CHF 234.86
CHF 229.50
5
Oct ’24
CHF 230.50
CHF 269.93
+17.1%
8.1%
CHF 301.46
CHF 235.51
CHF 267.50
5
Sep ’24
CHF 211.50
CHF 269.55
+27.4%
8.1%
CHF 300.97
CHF 235.13
CHF 254.50
5
Aug ’24
CHF 199.20
CHF 266.25
+33.7%
10.5%
CHF 301.26
CHF 217.57
CHF 266.50
5
Jul ’24
CHF 192.80
CHF 272.12
+41.1%
11.6%
CHF 314.35
CHF 220.45
CHF 277.00
5
Jun ’24
CHF 185.20
CHF 272.12
+46.9%
11.6%
CHF 314.35
CHF 220.45
CHF 262.00
5
May ’24
CHF 190.80
CHF 280.06
+46.8%
12.6%
CHF 319.89
CHF 224.33
CHF 227.00
4
Apr ’24
CHF 185.60
CHF 283.77
+52.9%
12.6%
CHF 324.40
CHF 227.50
CHF 234.00
4
Mar ’24
CHF 187.60
CHF 283.77
+51.3%
12.6%
CHF 324.40
CHF 227.50
CHF 233.00
4
Feb ’24
CHF 187.00
CHF 290.61
+55.4%
8.9%
CHF 332.51
CHF 265.52
CHF 256.50
4
Jan ’24
CHF 169.20
CHF 290.61
+71.8%
8.9%
CHF 332.51
CHF 265.52
CHF 251.00
4
Dec ’23
CHF 180.60
CHF 278.96
+54.5%
8.9%
CHF 319.28
CHF 254.96
CHF 241.50
4
Nov ’23
CHF 156.60
CHF 278.96
+78.1%
8.9%
CHF 319.28
CHF 254.96
CHF 232.50
4
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.