Enphase Energy Valuation

Is EOP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EOP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EOP (CHF53.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF161.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EOP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EOP?

Key metric: As EOP is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for EOP. This is calculated by dividing EOP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is EOP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.8x
SalesUS$1.25b
Market CapUS$9.78b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does EOP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for EOP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
ONTO Onto Innovation
8.6x14.6%US$8.1b
688126 National Silicon Industry GroupLtd
18.1x19.8%CN¥59.3b
MKSI MKS Instruments
2.2x8.0%US$7.6b
6488 GlobalWafers
3.1x11.7%NT$196.0b
EOP Enphase Energy
7.8x19.7%CHF 9.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: EOP is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (7.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does EOP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EOP 7.8xIndustry Avg. 1.8xNo. of Companies9PS01.22.43.64.86+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: EOP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EOP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EOP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate EOP's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EOP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 85.63
0%
24.8%CHF 128.03CHF 52.10n/a36
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 91.84
0%
21.1%CHF 133.44CHF 62.39n/a36
Oct ’25CHF 97.18
CHF 107.95
+11.1%
16.1%CHF 143.87CHF 69.40n/a36
Sep ’25CHF 104.50
CHF 109.11
+4.4%
15.8%CHF 144.75CHF 69.82n/a38
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 113.24
0%
15.0%CHF 149.76CHF 72.24n/a37
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 115.75
0%
15.7%CHF 148.25CHF 63.41n/a37
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 115.62
0%
15.4%CHF 148.87CHF 64.06n/a38
May ’25CHF 98.50
CHF 115.14
+16.9%
15.2%CHF 150.78CHF 64.88n/a40
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 116.55
0%
15.9%CHF 156.52CHF 62.43n/a38
Mar ’25CHF 106.82
CHF 112.07
+4.9%
16.9%CHF 152.16CHF 60.69n/a37
Feb ’25CHF 94.16
CHF 105.73
+12.3%
19.0%CHF 143.22CHF 64.71n/a35
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 101.17
0%
25.9%CHF 194.14CHF 63.31n/a36
Dec ’24CHF 88.45
CHF 99.72
+12.7%
28.2%CHF 203.27CHF 57.45n/a36
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 106.06
0%
28.9%CHF 208.80CHF 68.09n/a35
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 167.61
0%
18.2%CHF 238.94CHF 103.97CHF 97.1833
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 170.22
0%
16.2%CHF 230.71CHF 105.67CHF 104.5032
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 173.48
0%
17.8%CHF 264.29CHF 117.36n/a32
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 219.26
0%
16.0%CHF 283.72CHF 147.68n/a34
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 227.90
0%
17.2%CHF 308.99CHF 149.51n/a34
May ’24n/a
CHF 232.10
0%
13.6%CHF 304.78CHF 147.48CHF 98.5034
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 263.41
0%
14.3%CHF 333.62CHF 164.53n/a32
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 273.19
0%
14.7%CHF 343.06CHF 169.18CHF 106.8229
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 271.43
0%
15.5%CHF 331.69CHF 172.66CHF 94.1626
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 293.79
0%
15.7%CHF 352.90CHF 176.92n/a29
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 287.25
0%
15.2%CHF 340.14CHF 178.03CHF 88.4527
Nov ’23n/a
CHF 301.20
0%
15.2%CHF 359.98CHF 188.42n/a26

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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