Zalando SE

SWX:ZAL Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 7.8b

Zalando Valuation

Is ZAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZAL (CHF99.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF224.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZAL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZAL?

Key metric: As ZAL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ZAL. This is calculated by dividing ZAL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ZAL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.5x
Earnings€204.10m
Market Cap€8.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.2x
AVOL Avolta
43.2x20.0%CHF 5.5b
GAP Gap
10.8x3.5%US$8.9b
3092 ZOZO
32.2x8.0%JP¥1.5t
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
14.4x5.6%US$7.5b
ZAL Zalando
40.5x19.8%CHF 8.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZAL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.5x) compared to the peer average (25.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ZAL 40.5xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies12PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZAL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.5x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZAL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.5x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZAL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZAL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 99.44
CHF 33.80
-66.0%
18.5%CHF 46.59CHF 17.70n/a28
Dec ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 33.15
-66.7%
18.5%CHF 46.59CHF 17.70n/a28
Nov ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 32.92
-66.9%
19.9%CHF 46.72CHF 17.75n/a27
Oct ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 31.68
-68.1%
19.2%CHF 44.03CHF 17.80n/a27
Sep ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 31.02
-68.8%
19.1%CHF 44.00CHF 17.79n/a27
Aug ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 31.51
-68.3%
19.8%CHF 44.67CHF 17.11n/a27
Jul ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 31.59
-68.2%
22.1%CHF 45.23CHF 17.32n/a26
Jun ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 32.67
-67.1%
21.7%CHF 46.56CHF 17.83n/a26
May ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 31.75
-68.1%
22.6%CHF 45.95CHF 17.60n/a26
Apr ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 30.64
-69.2%
27.4%CHF 51.65CHF 17.54n/a27
Mar ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 30.19
-69.6%
27.1%CHF 50.37CHF 17.11n/a28
Feb ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 29.98
-69.8%
27.1%CHF 49.41CHF 16.78n/a28
Jan ’25CHF 99.44
CHF 32.89
-66.9%
24.5%CHF 52.08CHF 17.04CHF 99.4428
Dec ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 33.71
-66.1%
25.6%CHF 53.16CHF 17.40CHF 99.4429
Nov ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 34.77
-65.0%
23.8%CHF 51.96CHF 19.84CHF 99.4429
Oct ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 37.70
-62.1%
22.7%CHF 53.23CHF 20.32CHF 99.4429
Sep ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 37.78
-62.0%
21.4%CHF 52.53CHF 20.06CHF 99.4430
Aug ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 39.30
-60.5%
28.7%CHF 78.87CHF 20.20CHF 99.4429
Jul ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 41.07
-58.7%
26.3%CHF 80.09CHF 20.51CHF 99.4430
Jun ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 46.69
-53.0%
35.2%CHF 116.61CHF 29.15CHF 99.4430
May ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 48.40
-51.3%
33.9%CHF 118.28CHF 29.57CHF 99.4429
Apr ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 48.92
-50.8%
35.2%CHF 119.63CHF 23.93CHF 99.4428
Mar ’24CHF 99.44
CHF 47.39
-52.3%
37.6%CHF 118.72CHF 23.74CHF 99.4428
Feb ’24CHF 100.00
CHF 45.82
-54.2%
41.0%CHF 120.44CHF 24.09CHF 99.4428
Jan ’24CHF 103.45
CHF 38.16
-63.1%
55.8%CHF 118.79CHF 16.83CHF 99.4426

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/03 15:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Zalando SE is covered by 62 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rocco StraussArete Research Services LLP
Gerhard SchwarzBaader Helvea Equity Research
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research