Tecan Group AG's (VTX:TECN) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.2x Tecan Group AG (VTX:TECN) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Switzerland have P/E ratios under 21x and even P/E's lower than 13x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Tecan Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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Is There Enough Growth For Tecan Group?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Tecan Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.6% gain to the company's bottom line. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 19% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.4% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Tecan Group is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Tecan Group's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Tecan Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Tecan Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tecan Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.