Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies PolyPeptide Group AG (VTX:PPGN) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for PolyPeptide Group
What Is PolyPeptide Group's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 PolyPeptide Group had debt of €101.5m, up from €10.5m in one year. However, it also had €95.7m in cash, and so its net debt is €5.75m.
How Strong Is PolyPeptide Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, PolyPeptide Group had liabilities of €176.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €131.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €95.7m in cash and €96.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €116.2m.
Of course, PolyPeptide Group has a market capitalization of €1.02b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. But either way, PolyPeptide Group has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PolyPeptide Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, PolyPeptide Group reported revenue of €320m, which is a gain of 14%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, PolyPeptide Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €34m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled €20m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with PolyPeptide Group .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SWX:PPGN
PolyPeptide Group
PolyPeptide Group AG operate as a contract development and manufacturing company in Europe, the United States, and India.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.