Stock Analysis

Cosmo Pharmaceuticals N.V.'s (VTX:COPN) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

SWX:COPN
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Cosmo Pharmaceuticals' (VTX:COPN) stock is up by a considerable 45% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cosmo Pharmaceuticals' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Cosmo Pharmaceuticals

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cosmo Pharmaceuticals is:

2.5% = €11m ÷ €438m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CHF1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CHF0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Cosmo Pharmaceuticals' Earnings Growth And 2.5% ROE

When you first look at it, Cosmo Pharmaceuticals' ROE doesn't look that attractive. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.3%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Cosmo Pharmaceuticals grew its net income at a significant rate of 62% in the last five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Cosmo Pharmaceuticals' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 13% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
SWX:COPN Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Cosmo Pharmaceuticals is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Cosmo Pharmaceuticals Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Cosmo Pharmaceuticals has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 74%, meaning the company only retains 26% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, Cosmo Pharmaceuticals has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 17% over the next three years. As a result, the expected drop in Cosmo Pharmaceuticals' payout ratio explains the anticipated rise in the company's future ROE to 20%, over the same period.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Cosmo Pharmaceuticals has some positive attributes. That is, quite an impressive growth in earnings. However, the low profit retention means that the company's earnings growth could have been higher, had it been reinvesting a higher portion of its profits. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.