RTL Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

RTL Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 6.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 4.7% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 3.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.8% in 3 years.

Key information

-6.6%

Earnings growth rate

-3.7%

EPS growth rate

Media earnings growth	8.6%
Revenue growth rate	4.7%
Future return on equity	11.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	01 Oct 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BRSE:RTL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	7,134	492	688	799	7
12/31/2025	6,839	449	605	737	7
12/31/2024	6,575	844	1,353	683	7
6/30/2024	6,286	401	463	633	N/A
3/31/2024	6,260	377	412	585	N/A
12/31/2023	6,234	352	360	537	N/A
6/30/2023	6,133	324	158	355	N/A
3/31/2023	6,361	437	210	409	N/A
12/31/2022	6,589	549	262	463	N/A
9/30/2022	7,062	678	438	633	N/A
6/30/2022	6,899	683	613	802	N/A
3/31/2022	6,768	992	675	867	N/A
12/31/2021	6,637	1,301	737	932	N/A
9/30/2021	6,508	1,281	687	872	N/A
6/30/2021	6,379	1,261	637	811	N/A
3/31/2021	6,198	877	696	872	N/A
12/31/2020	6,017	492	755	933	N/A
9/30/2020	6,074	474	797	985	N/A
6/30/2020	6,130	455	839	1,037	N/A
3/31/2020	6,391	605	850	1,046	N/A
12/31/2019	6,651	754	861	1,055	N/A
9/30/2019	6,949	818	950	1,156	N/A
6/30/2019	6,632	743	785	1,001	N/A
3/31/2019	6,676	754	586	813	N/A
12/31/2018	6,505	668	648	873	N/A
9/30/2018	6,491	729	848	1,058	N/A
6/30/2018	6,441	737	799	1,035	N/A
3/31/2018	6,384	713	N/A	1,040	N/A
12/31/2017	6,373	739	N/A	1,023	N/A
9/30/2017	6,357	711	N/A	868	N/A
6/30/2017	6,337	699	N/A	917	N/A
3/31/2017	6,210	719	N/A	1,007	N/A
12/31/2016	6,237	720	N/A	1,106	N/A
9/30/2016	6,118	768	N/A	1,127	N/A
6/30/2016	6,119	779	N/A	1,091	N/A
3/31/2016	6,153	821	N/A	1,094	N/A
12/31/2015	6,029	789	N/A	983	N/A
9/30/2015	6,003	811	N/A	979	N/A
6/30/2015	5,909	801	N/A	828	N/A
3/31/2015	5,803	667	N/A	937	N/A
12/31/2014	5,808	652	N/A	934	N/A
9/30/2014	5,758	640	N/A	846	N/A
6/30/2014	5,756	654	N/A	922	N/A
3/31/2014	5,820	828	N/A	984	N/A
12/31/2013	5,824	870	N/A	1,116	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RTL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.6% per year).

Earnings vs Market: RTL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RTL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RTL's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Swiss market (4.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RTL's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RTL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/10/05 06:40
End of Day Share Price	2024/07/08 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

RTL Group S.A. is covered by 40 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Jean-Marie Caucheteux	Banque Degroof
JULIEN ROCH	Barclays
Annick Maas	BNP Paribas Exane

RTL Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

RTL Group S.A. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 08, 2025

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: €2.28 (vs €4.35 in FY 2022)

DPG Media Group NV reached an agreement to acquire RTL Nederland B.V. from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL) for €1.1 billion.

RTL Group S.A. to Report Nine Months, 2023 Results on Nov 08, 2023

RTL Group S.A. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 24, 2024

New major risk - Dividend sustainability

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: €0.48 (vs €1.58 in 1H 2022)

Upcoming dividend of €3.48 per share at 7.1% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €4.35 (vs €8.41 in FY 2021)

Less than half of directors are independent

German Regulator Reportedly Sees No Chance for RTL, ProSiebenSat.1 Tie-Up

Bertelsmann's RTL Group Scraps Plan to Sell Stake in French TV Group M6

RTL Group Announces Executive Changes

First half 2022 earnings released

RTL Group S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 26, 2023

Central European Media Enterprises Ltd. completed the acquisition of Rtl Hrvatska D.O.O. from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL).

Less than half of directors are independent

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Central European Media Enterprises Ltd. agreed to acquire Rtl Hrvatska D.O.O. from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL) for €50 million.

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS €5.58 (vs €0.61 in 1H 2020)

DPG Media NV and Rossel et Cie SA agreed to acquire RTL Belgium SA from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL) for approximately €250 million.

Non-Executive Director has left the company

Non-Executive Director has left the company

Magnite, Inc. (NasdaqGS:MGNI) completed the acquisition of SpotX, Inc. from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL) for approximately $1.14 billion.

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €3.20 (vs €4.91 in FY 2019)

Full year 2020 earnings released: EPS €3.20 (vs €4.91 in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations

RTL Confirms Talks on Selling Stake in Groupe M6

RTL Group to Acquire Full Ownership of Super RTL

Magnite, Inc. (NasdaqGS:MGNI) entered into a stock purchase agreement to acquire SpotX, Inc. from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL) for $1.2 billion.

RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL) agreed in principle to acquire the remaining 34% stake in RTL Belgium SA from Audiopresse SA.

BBTV Holdings Inc. (TSX:BBTV) acquired 51% stake in BroadbandTV Corp. from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL) and others for approximately CAD 160 million.

RTL Group S.A. to Report Q1, 2021 Results on May 06, 2021

RTL Group S.A. to Report First Half, 2021 Results on Aug 06, 2021

Jacques Aragones, Managing Director of TV Presse Productions SAS acquired TV Presse Productions SAS from RTL Group S.A. (XTRA:RRTL).

RTL Group SA (XTRA:RRTL) completed the acquisition of 50% stake in Bedrock from M6 Interactions, SAS.