Gurit Holding Valuation

Is GURN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GURN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GURN (CHF60.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF131.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GURN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GURN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GURN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.2x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GURN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GURN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.3x
CLN Clariant
26x22.5%CHF4.4b
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING
37.3x7.2%CHF17.1b
GIVN Givaudan
40.9x7.7%CHF36.6b
AFP Aluflexpack
24.9x-37.4%CHF256.0m
GURN Gurit Holding
37.9x35.1%CHF282.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GURN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.9x) compared to the peer average (32.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GURN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GURN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.9x) compared to the European Chemicals industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GURN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GURN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.9x
Fair PE Ratio27.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GURN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GURN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF60.40
CHF84.75
+40.3%
13.3%CHF100.00CHF70.00n/a4
Apr ’25CHF66.40
CHF84.20
+26.8%
11.2%CHF100.00CHF75.00n/a5
Mar ’25CHF67.90
CHF84.20
+24.0%
11.2%CHF100.00CHF75.00n/a5
Feb ’25CHF74.50
CHF85.60
+14.9%
9.9%CHF100.00CHF77.00n/a5
Jan ’25CHF81.60
CHF89.80
+10.0%
10.4%CHF100.00CHF77.00n/a5
Dec ’24CHF72.60
CHF89.80
+23.7%
10.4%CHF100.00CHF77.00n/a5
Nov ’24CHF70.60
CHF89.80
+27.2%
10.4%CHF100.00CHF77.00n/a5
Oct ’24CHF92.90
CHF103.40
+11.3%
23.7%CHF150.00CHF80.00n/a5
Sep ’24CHF87.90
CHF103.00
+17.2%
21.8%CHF150.00CHF80.00n/a6
Aug ’24CHF93.40
CHF101.17
+8.3%
22.7%CHF150.00CHF80.00n/a6
Jul ’24CHF83.30
CHF101.40
+21.7%
24.8%CHF150.00CHF80.00n/a5
Jun ’24CHF83.20
CHF101.40
+21.9%
24.8%CHF150.00CHF80.00n/a5
May ’24CHF90.10
CHF101.40
+12.5%
24.8%CHF150.00CHF80.00n/a5
Apr ’24CHF82.80
CHF102.43
+23.7%
21.0%CHF150.00CHF80.00CHF66.407
Mar ’24CHF99.80
CHF111.00
+11.2%
15.9%CHF150.00CHF96.00CHF67.907
Feb ’24CHF97.20
CHF112.29
+15.5%
15.2%CHF150.00CHF96.00CHF74.507
Jan ’24CHF90.00
CHF112.43
+24.9%
15.1%CHF150.00CHF97.00CHF81.607
Dec ’23CHF98.20
CHF114.83
+16.9%
14.9%CHF150.00CHF97.00CHF72.606
Nov ’23CHF89.40
CHF114.83
+28.4%
14.9%CHF150.00CHF97.00CHF70.606
Oct ’23CHF72.50
CHF122.67
+69.2%
24.1%CHF185.00CHF97.00CHF92.906
Sep ’23CHF99.00
CHF122.67
+23.9%
24.1%CHF185.00CHF97.00CHF87.906
Aug ’23CHF115.40
CHF141.50
+22.6%
16.8%CHF185.00CHF115.00CHF93.406
Jul ’23CHF103.40
CHF141.50
+36.8%
16.8%CHF185.00CHF115.00CHF83.306
Jun ’23CHF108.80
CHF141.50
+30.1%
16.8%CHF185.00CHF115.00CHF83.206
May ’23CHF125.80
CHF151.33
+20.3%
11.2%CHF185.00CHF134.00CHF90.106
Apr ’23CHF148.20
CHF157.33
+6.2%
8.5%CHF185.00CHF145.00CHF82.806

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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