Freeport-McMoRan Valuation

Is FCX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FCX (CHF10) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF26.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FCX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCX?

Key metric: As FCX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FCX. This is calculated by dividing FCX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FCX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.7x
EarningsUS$2.00b
Market CapUS$62.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FCX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FCX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.2x
HOLN Holcim
16.5x7.7%CHF 49.7b
GIVN Givaudan
33.7x6.1%CHF 34.8b
SIKA Sika
30.3x9.0%CHF 37.8b
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING
32.3x8.8%CHF 14.9b
FCX Freeport-McMoRan
30.7x19.1%CHF 62.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FCX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FCX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FCX 30.7xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FCX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.7x
Fair PE Ratio28.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FCX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FCX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 10.00
CHF 47.88
+378.8%
9.5%CHF 57.90CHF 37.23n/a20
Nov ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 48.01
+380.1%
9.5%CHF 58.05CHF 37.33n/a20
Oct ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 46.28
+362.8%
10.6%CHF 56.70CHF 36.46n/a19
Sep ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 47.00
+370.0%
10.0%CHF 54.35CHF 37.16n/a19
Aug ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 48.78
+387.8%
8.7%CHF 55.65CHF 38.87n/a19
Jul ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 49.37
+393.7%
9.6%CHF 58.13CHF 40.24n/a19
Jun ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 48.12
+381.2%
10.3%CHF 54.21CHF 40.66n/a20
May ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 47.25
+372.5%
10.9%CHF 54.83CHF 37.47n/a21
Apr ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 42.91
+329.1%
10.8%CHF 51.57CHF 35.28n/a21
Mar ’25CHF 10.00
CHF 40.73
+307.3%
11.0%CHF 50.24CHF 32.61n/a21
Feb ’25CHF 11.00
CHF 39.88
+262.6%
11.0%CHF 49.10CHF 31.87n/a21
Jan ’25CHF 11.00
CHF 39.15
+255.9%
11.9%CHF 49.06CHF 31.85n/a20
Dec ’24CHF 11.00
CHF 40.10
+264.6%
11.2%CHF 49.91CHF 32.40n/a20
Nov ’24CHF 11.00
CHF 42.09
+282.6%
10.5%CHF 51.10CHF 36.76CHF 10.0019
Oct ’24CHF 11.00
CHF 43.99
+299.9%
9.6%CHF 52.18CHF 38.45CHF 10.0018
Sep ’24CHF 11.00
CHF 40.16
+265.1%
15.3%CHF 50.06CHF 25.47CHF 10.0020
Aug ’24CHF 11.00
CHF 39.82
+262.0%
15.3%CHF 49.58CHF 25.22CHF 10.0020
Jul ’24CHF 11.00
CHF 41.19
+274.5%
15.0%CHF 51.12CHF 26.01CHF 10.0021
Jun ’24CHF 11.00
CHF 42.41
+285.5%
15.8%CHF 51.92CHF 26.42CHF 10.0020
May ’24CHF 11.10
CHF 40.73
+266.9%
15.8%CHF 53.29CHF 25.76CHF 10.0019
Apr ’24CHF 11.10
CHF 41.59
+274.6%
16.9%CHF 55.13CHF 22.05CHF 10.0018
Mar ’24CHF 11.10
CHF 42.21
+280.3%
17.4%CHF 56.45CHF 22.58CHF 10.0018
Feb ’24CHF 10.90
CHF 39.28
+260.3%
20.6%CHF 54.52CHF 21.81CHF 11.0018
Jan ’24CHF 10.90
CHF 34.62
+217.6%
20.2%CHF 51.09CHF 21.36CHF 11.0018
Dec ’23CHF 10.90
CHF 33.44
+206.8%
19.6%CHF 51.81CHF 21.67CHF 11.0018
Nov ’23CHF 10.90
CHF 34.74
+218.7%
20.5%CHF 54.89CHF 22.95CHF 11.0018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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