CPH Group AG

SWX:CPHN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 436.4m

CPH Group Valuation

Is CPHN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CPHN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CPHN (CHF72.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF176.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CPHN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CPHN?

Key metric: As CPHN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CPHN. This is calculated by dividing CPHN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CPHN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio45.3x
EarningsCHF 9.64m
Market CapCHF 436.45m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CPHN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CPHN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
VETN Vetropack Holding
22.2x41.0%CHF 487.7m
AFP Aluflexpack
23.1x39.5%CHF 250.9m
500444 West Coast Paper Mills
7.9xn/a₹36.7b
MCM Miquel y Costas & Miquel
10.2xn/a€475.4m
CPHN CPH Group
45.3x49.3%CHF 436.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CPHN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.3x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CPHN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CPHN 45.3xIndustry Avg. 10.2xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CPHN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.3x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (10.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CPHN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CPHN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio45.3x
Fair PE Ratio33.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CPHN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CPHN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 72.80
CHF 92.78
+27.4%
5.6%CHF 100.00CHF 86.10n/a4
Dec ’25CHF 68.20
CHF 95.03
+39.3%
7.6%CHF 104.00CHF 86.10n/a4
Nov ’25CHF 69.20
CHF 95.03
+37.3%
7.6%CHF 104.00CHF 86.10n/a4
Oct ’25CHF 69.80
CHF 95.03
+36.1%
7.6%CHF 104.00CHF 86.10n/a4
Sep ’25CHF 66.00
CHF 95.03
+44.0%
7.6%CHF 104.00CHF 86.10n/a4
Aug ’25CHF 67.40
CHF 95.03
+41.0%
7.6%CHF 104.00CHF 86.10n/a4
Jul ’25CHF 68.00
CHF 95.03
+39.7%
7.6%CHF 104.00CHF 86.10n/a4
Jun ’25CHF 90.20
CHF 96.65
+7.2%
5.8%CHF 104.00CHF 90.00n/a4
May ’25CHF 86.00
CHF 96.65
+12.4%
5.8%CHF 104.00CHF 90.00n/a4
Apr ’25CHF 87.80
CHF 96.65
+10.1%
5.8%CHF 104.00CHF 90.00n/a4
Mar ’25CHF 86.80
CHF 96.65
+11.3%
5.8%CHF 104.00CHF 90.00n/a4
Feb ’25CHF 90.00
CHF 97.95
+8.8%
5.2%CHF 104.00CHF 90.00n/a4
Jan ’25CHF 85.00
CHF 97.95
+15.2%
5.2%CHF 104.00CHF 90.00n/a4
Dec ’24CHF 80.00
CHF 101.95
+27.4%
3.2%CHF 106.00CHF 97.80CHF 68.204
Nov ’24CHF 81.00
CHF 101.95
+25.9%
3.2%CHF 106.00CHF 97.80CHF 69.204
Oct ’24CHF 85.00
CHF 101.95
+19.9%
3.2%CHF 106.00CHF 97.80CHF 69.804
Sep ’24CHF 87.00
CHF 106.95
+22.9%
7.6%CHF 120.00CHF 97.80CHF 66.004
Aug ’24CHF 87.00
CHF 106.95
+22.9%
7.6%CHF 120.00CHF 97.80CHF 67.404
Jul ’24CHF 84.60
CHF 106.95
+26.4%
7.6%CHF 120.00CHF 97.80CHF 68.004
Jun ’24CHF 91.40
CHF 106.95
+17.0%
7.6%CHF 120.00CHF 97.80CHF 90.204
May ’24CHF 89.20
CHF 106.95
+19.9%
7.6%CHF 120.00CHF 97.80CHF 86.004
Apr ’24CHF 89.00
CHF 106.95
+20.2%
7.6%CHF 120.00CHF 97.80CHF 87.804
Mar ’24CHF 90.40
CHF 97.45
+7.8%
14.5%CHF 120.00CHF 82.00CHF 86.804
Feb ’24CHF 86.40
CHF 90.90
+5.2%
10.9%CHF 100.00CHF 75.00CHF 90.004
Jan ’24CHF 78.00
CHF 90.90
+16.5%
10.9%CHF 100.00CHF 75.00CHF 85.004
Dec ’23CHF 77.60
CHF 90.90
+17.1%
10.9%CHF 100.00CHF 75.00CHF 80.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 12:06
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

CPH Group AG is covered by 6 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Jorg SchirmacherBaader Helvea Equity Research
Konstantin WiechertBaader Helvea Equity Research