Rio Tinto Group Valuation

Is RIO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RIO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RIO (CHF71.33) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF91.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RIO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RIO?

Key metric: As RIO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RIO. This is calculated by dividing RIO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RIO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.6x
EarningsUS$10.75b
Market CapUS$110.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RIO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RIO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
HOLN Holcim
17x7.7%CHF 51.0b
GIVN Givaudan
35.2x6.1%CHF 36.3b
SIKA Sika
29.8x8.9%CHF 37.1b
BHP BHP Group
16.8x5.0%AU$203.7b
RIO Rio Tinto Group
9.6x0.8%CHF 85.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RIO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (25.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RIO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

15 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RIO 9.6xIndustry Avg. 12.1xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
15 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RIO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RIO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RIO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RIO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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