ArcelorMittal Valuation

Is MT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MT (CHF29.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF86.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.8x
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING
7.5x5.5%CHF 15.8b
STLN Swiss Steel Holding
0.05xn/aCHF 141.7m
GIVN Givaudan
5.8x5.0%CHF 41.4b
HOLN Holcim
1.7x4.9%CHF 44.7b
MT ArcelorMittal
0.3x1.9%CHF 15.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (3.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 27.25
0%
14.3%CHF 35.58CHF 21.91n/a13
Sep ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 27.15
-7.0%
14.2%CHF 35.55CHF 21.89n/a13
Aug ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 28.07
-3.8%
14.0%CHF 36.20CHF 22.71n/a13
Jul ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 30.26
+3.7%
13.1%CHF 39.02CHF 25.16n/a13
Jun ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 31.24
+7.0%
13.5%CHF 39.61CHF 25.54n/a13
May ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 31.24
+7.0%
13.3%CHF 38.99CHF 25.34n/a12
Apr ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 31.26
+7.1%
13.4%CHF 39.55CHF 26.64n/a13
Mar ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 30.24
+3.6%
13.1%CHF 38.01CHF 25.91n/a13
Feb ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 29.28
+0.3%
13.3%CHF 37.28CHF 23.47n/a13
Jan ’25CHF 29.19
CHF 29.37
+0.6%
14.1%CHF 38.12CHF 23.31n/a13
Dec ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 28.37
-2.8%
18.5%CHF 38.60CHF 18.82n/a12
Nov ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 29.81
+2.1%
18.8%CHF 38.83CHF 19.30n/a12
Oct ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 32.37
+10.9%
14.4%CHF 40.11CHF 23.06n/a12
Sep ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 31.57
+8.1%
14.0%CHF 38.23CHF 22.44CHF 29.1912
Aug ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 31.45
+7.7%
14.1%CHF 38.34CHF 22.59CHF 29.1912
Jul ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 33.01
+13.1%
13.5%CHF 38.98CHF 24.65CHF 29.1912
Jun ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 34.21
+17.2%
16.8%CHF 48.14CHF 24.85CHF 29.1913
May ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 33.90
+16.1%
16.8%CHF 47.84CHF 24.54CHF 29.1913
Apr ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 34.64
+18.7%
15.8%CHF 47.56CHF 24.92CHF 29.1913
Mar ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 35.80
+22.6%
16.8%CHF 48.91CHF 26.12CHF 29.1912
Feb ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 34.19
+17.1%
18.0%CHF 48.30CHF 24.33CHF 29.1912
Jan ’24CHF 29.19
CHF 32.07
+9.9%
20.5%CHF 45.54CHF 20.79CHF 29.1914
Dec ’23CHF 29.19
CHF 32.32
+10.7%
21.0%CHF 46.19CHF 21.09CHF 29.1914
Nov ’23CHF 29.19
CHF 32.81
+12.4%
21.9%CHF 47.55CHF 22.20CHF 29.1914
Oct ’23CHF 29.19
CHF 35.58
+21.9%
21.0%CHF 49.88CHF 22.12CHF 29.1915
Sep ’23CHF 29.19
CHF 36.75
+25.9%
19.0%CHF 50.17CHF 26.81CHF 29.1915

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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