Fortescue Valuation

Is FVJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FVJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CHF 20.83
Fair Value
48.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: FVJ (CHF10.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF20.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FVJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FVJ?

Key metric: As FVJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FVJ. This is calculated by dividing FVJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FVJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.6x
EarningsUS$5.68b
Market CapUS$37.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FVJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FVJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.2x
GIVN Givaudan
32.4x6.4%CHF 35.3b
SIKA Sika
30.1x7.9%CHF 37.5b
HOLN Holcim
18x7.5%CHF 54.0b
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING
32.3x4.9%CHF 15.1b
FVJ Fortescue
6.6x-24.6%CHF 58.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FVJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FVJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

14 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FVJ 6.6xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
14 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FVJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FVJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FVJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FVJ's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FVJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 10.72
0%
10.0%CHF 12.59CHF 8.72n/a17
Feb ’26CHF 10.76
CHF 10.69
-0.6%
10.0%CHF 12.56CHF 8.72n/a17
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 11.01
0%
11.6%CHF 13.59CHF 8.88n/a17
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 10.81
0%
12.5%CHF 13.32CHF 8.52n/a17
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 10.60
0%
13.0%CHF 13.19CHF 8.32n/a16
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 10.63
0%
13.2%CHF 13.92CHF 8.09n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 10.93
0%
15.4%CHF 14.55CHF 8.23n/a17
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 11.28
0%
15.0%CHF 15.13CHF 8.25n/a17
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 12.62
0%
16.8%CHF 15.82CHF 7.49n/a17
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 12.88
0%
16.3%CHF 16.00CHF 8.02n/a17
May ’25CHF 15.47
CHF 12.84
-17.0%
16.5%CHF 15.95CHF 7.99n/a16
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 12.99
0%
14.4%CHF 15.48CHF 8.32n/a16
Mar ’25CHF 16.28
CHF 12.79
-21.4%
12.2%CHF 15.04CHF 9.93n/a16
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 12.54
0%
11.9%CHF 14.68CHF 9.77CHF 10.7615
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 11.77
0%
15.5%CHF 15.20CHF 9.18n/a15
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 11.12
0%
13.6%CHF 13.86CHF 8.83n/a15
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 10.75
0%
13.9%CHF 13.87CHF 8.99n/a15
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 10.41
0%
16.2%CHF 14.25CHF 8.11n/a15
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 9.83
0%
11.5%CHF 11.46CHF 7.85n/a17
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 10.43
0%
12.4%CHF 13.33CHF 8.49n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 10.56
0%
9.5%CHF 11.91CHF 8.90n/a17
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 10.68
0%
12.4%CHF 13.93CHF 8.40n/a17
May ’24n/a
CHF 10.57
0%
12.2%CHF 13.77CHF 8.44CHF 15.4717
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 10.84
0%
13.1%CHF 14.55CHF 8.66n/a17
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 11.25
0%
14.5%CHF 14.88CHF 8.73CHF 16.2818
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 11.02
0%
15.4%CHF 14.79CHF 8.20n/a19
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
CHF 10.38
Fair Value
3.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/12 09:06
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/29 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Fortescue Ltd is covered by 40 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael HarrowellAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Ephrem RaviBarclays
Nicholas McGarrigleBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited