Stock Analysis

Metall Zug (VTX:METN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SWX:METN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Metall Zug AG (VTX:METN) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Metall Zug

What Is Metall Zug's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Metall Zug had CHF4.58m of debt in June 2021, down from CHF13.7m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CHF90.2m in cash, leading to a CHF85.6m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:METN Debt to Equity History September 11th 2021

How Strong Is Metall Zug's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Metall Zug had liabilities of CHF154.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CHF39.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CHF90.2m and CHF116.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CHF12.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Metall Zug's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CHF927.9m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Succinctly put, Metall Zug boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that Metall Zug's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 25% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Metall Zug can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Metall Zug may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Metall Zug burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Metall Zug has CHF85.6m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Metall Zug does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Metall Zug's earnings per share history for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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