Stock Analysis

medmix AG (VTX:MEDX) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 28% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

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SWX:MEDX

medmix AG (VTX:MEDX) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 55% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, when around half the companies operating in Switzerland's Medical Equipment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 4.6x, you may consider medmix as an incredibly enticing stock to check out with its 0.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for medmix

SWX:MEDX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 11th 2024

How Has medmix Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for medmix as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think medmix's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For medmix?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as medmix's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 16% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.2% each year as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.7% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why medmix is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in medmix have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of medmix's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for medmix (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of medmix's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.