Julius Bär Gruppe Valuation
Is BAER undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of BAER when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: BAER (CHF49.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF104.44)
Significantly Below Fair Value: BAER is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BAER?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is BAER's n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | CHF 10.14b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | n/a |
PEG Ratio | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does BAER's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 20.8x | ||
VZN VZ Holding | 24.8x | 7.9% | CHF 5.0b |
VONN Vontobel Holding | 14.4x | 18.3% | CHF 3.1b |
EFGN EFG International | 12.1x | 6.5% | CHF 3.6b |
PGHN Partners Group Holding | 31.6x | 12.0% | CHF 31.7b |
BAER Julius Bär Gruppe | 27.1x | 21.9% | CHF 10.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BAER is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does BAER's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Capital Markets Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BAER is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the European Capital Markets industry average (14.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is BAER's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 27.1x |
Fair PE Ratio | 21.6x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BAER is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | CHF 49.51 | CHF 58.01 +17.2% | 8.4% | CHF 67.00 | CHF 48.20 | n/a | 14 |
Aug ’25 | CHF 48.05 | CHF 58.49 +21.7% | 7.9% | CHF 67.00 | CHF 50.80 | n/a | 14 |
Jul ’25 | CHF 51.04 | CHF 61.56 +20.6% | 9.2% | CHF 71.00 | CHF 50.90 | n/a | 14 |
Jun ’25 | CHF 54.08 | CHF 61.56 +13.8% | 9.2% | CHF 71.00 | CHF 50.90 | n/a | 14 |
May ’25 | CHF 49.61 | CHF 58.96 +18.9% | 7.9% | CHF 68.00 | CHF 50.70 | n/a | 14 |
Apr ’25 | CHF 52.08 | CHF 58.26 +11.9% | 6.9% | CHF 65.00 | CHF 50.70 | n/a | 14 |
Mar ’25 | CHF 47.87 | CHF 57.31 +19.7% | 7.6% | CHF 65.00 | CHF 50.00 | n/a | 15 |
Feb ’25 | CHF 47.72 | CHF 58.09 +21.7% | 6.8% | CHF 65.00 | CHF 50.80 | n/a | 15 |
Jan ’25 | CHF 47.15 | CHF 60.29 +27.9% | 8.0% | CHF 70.00 | CHF 52.30 | n/a | 15 |
Dec ’24 | CHF 44.55 | CHF 61.69 +38.5% | 9.7% | CHF 76.00 | CHF 52.30 | n/a | 15 |
Nov ’24 | CHF 53.96 | CHF 71.46 +32.4% | 4.9% | CHF 78.00 | CHF 64.00 | n/a | 13 |
Oct ’24 | CHF 58.86 | CHF 71.46 +21.4% | 4.9% | CHF 78.00 | CHF 64.00 | n/a | 13 |
Sep ’24 | CHF 61.28 | CHF 71.00 +15.9% | 5.3% | CHF 78.00 | CHF 64.00 | CHF 49.51 | 14 |
Aug ’24 | CHF 61.60 | CHF 71.00 +15.3% | 5.3% | CHF 78.00 | CHF 64.00 | CHF 48.05 | 14 |
Jul ’24 | CHF 56.34 | CHF 70.86 +25.8% | 6.6% | CHF 78.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 51.04 | 14 |
Jun ’24 | CHF 56.04 | CHF 70.86 +26.4% | 6.6% | CHF 78.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 54.08 | 14 |
May ’24 | CHF 63.72 | CHF 72.21 +13.3% | 6.5% | CHF 81.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 49.61 | 14 |
Apr ’24 | CHF 62.32 | CHF 70.21 +12.7% | 4.9% | CHF 75.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 52.08 | 14 |
Mar ’24 | CHF 62.38 | CHF 70.21 +12.6% | 4.9% | CHF 75.00 | CHF 62.00 | CHF 47.87 | 14 |
Feb ’24 | CHF 59.72 | CHF 64.89 +8.7% | 5.9% | CHF 73.00 | CHF 58.00 | CHF 47.72 | 14 |
Jan ’24 | CHF 53.86 | CHF 63.21 +17.4% | 7.0% | CHF 69.00 | CHF 50.00 | CHF 47.15 | 14 |
Dec ’23 | CHF 55.10 | CHF 62.64 +13.7% | 6.7% | CHF 68.00 | CHF 50.00 | CHF 44.55 | 14 |
Nov ’23 | CHF 48.38 | CHF 59.10 +22.2% | 14.0% | CHF 69.00 | CHF 35.98 | CHF 53.96 | 15 |
Oct ’23 | CHF 43.50 | CHF 59.70 +37.2% | 12.4% | CHF 69.00 | CHF 40.95 | CHF 58.86 | 15 |
Sep ’23 | CHF 46.45 | CHF 59.63 +28.4% | 12.4% | CHF 69.00 | CHF 40.95 | CHF 61.28 | 15 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.