Orascom Development Holding AG

SWX:ODHN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 331.5m

Orascom Development Holding Valuation

Is ODHN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ODHN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ODHN (CHF5.56) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CHF0.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ODHN is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ODHN?

Key metric: As ODHN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ODHN. This is calculated by dividing ODHN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ODHN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesCHF 686.17m
Market CapCHF 331.46m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ODHN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ODHN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
LMN lastminute.com
0.5x6.0%CHF 177.6m
TIBN Bergbahnen Engelberg-Trübsee-Titlis
1.8x3.6%CHF 131.0m
H18 Hotel Grand Central
3.7xn/aS$532.4m
600706 Xi'an Qujiang Cultural Tourism
1.7xn/aCN¥2.4b
ODHN Orascom Development Holding
0.5x7.4%CHF 331.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ODHN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ODHN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ODHN 0.5xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies23PS00.81.62.43.24+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ODHN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ODHN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ODHN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ODHN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ODHN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 5.56
CHF 4.09
-26.4%
2.2%CHF 4.18CHF 4.00n/a2
Dec ’25CHF 4.00
CHF 4.30
+7.5%
7.0%CHF 4.60CHF 4.00n/a2
Nov ’25CHF 3.84
CHF 4.40
+14.6%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Oct ’25CHF 4.20
CHF 4.40
+4.8%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Sep ’25CHF 3.98
CHF 4.40
+10.6%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Aug ’25CHF 4.06
CHF 4.40
+8.4%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Jan ’25CHF 4.80
CHF 7.38
+53.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10n/a2
Dec ’24CHF 4.80
CHF 7.38
+53.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 4.002
Nov ’24CHF 5.30
CHF 7.38
+39.2%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 3.842
Oct ’24CHF 5.70
CHF 7.38
+29.4%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 4.202
Sep ’24CHF 5.40
CHF 7.38
+36.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 3.982
Aug ’24CHF 5.92
CHF 7.38
+24.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 4.062
Jul ’24CHF 6.38
CHF 7.38
+15.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 3.982
Apr ’24CHF 7.30
CHF 8.53
+16.8%
10.3%CHF 9.40CHF 7.65CHF 4.702
Mar ’24CHF 7.50
CHF 8.53
+13.7%
10.3%CHF 9.40CHF 7.65CHF 4.102

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 03:37
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Orascom Development Holding AG is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hans ZayedCredit Suisse
Jan HasmanEFG-Hermes Research
Eyad FarajGoldman Sachs