Orascom Development Holding AG

SWX:ODHN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 232.5m

Orascom Development Holding Valuation

Is ODHN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ODHN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ODHN (CHF4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF21.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ODHN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ODHN?

Key metric: As ODHN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ODHN. This is calculated by dividing ODHN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ODHN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesCHF 686.13m
Market CapCHF 232.50m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ODHN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ODHN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.5x
LMN lastminute.com
0.6x3.4%CHF 182.1m
TIBN Bergbahnen Engelberg-Trübsee-Titlis
1.8x3.6%CHF 128.4m
2706 First Hotel
22.2xn/aNT$7.4b
GHG GreenTree Hospitality Group
1.4x8.6%US$269.1m
ODHN Orascom Development Holding
0.3x6.8%CHF 232.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ODHN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (6.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ODHN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

24 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ODHN 0.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies24PS00.81.62.43.24+
24 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ODHN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ODHN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ODHN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ODHN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ODHN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 4.00
CHF 4.40
+10.0%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Nov ’25CHF 3.84
CHF 4.40
+14.6%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Oct ’25CHF 4.20
CHF 4.40
+4.8%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Sep ’25CHF 3.98
CHF 4.40
+10.6%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Aug ’25CHF 4.06
CHF 4.40
+8.4%
4.5%CHF 4.60CHF 4.20n/a2
Jan ’25CHF 4.80
CHF 7.38
+53.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10n/a2
Dec ’24CHF 4.80
CHF 7.38
+53.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10n/a2
Nov ’24CHF 5.30
CHF 7.38
+39.2%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 3.842
Oct ’24CHF 5.70
CHF 7.38
+29.4%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 4.202
Sep ’24CHF 5.40
CHF 7.38
+36.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 3.982
Aug ’24CHF 5.92
CHF 7.38
+24.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 4.062
Jul ’24CHF 6.38
CHF 7.38
+15.6%
3.7%CHF 7.65CHF 7.10CHF 3.982
Apr ’24CHF 7.30
CHF 8.53
+16.8%
10.3%CHF 9.40CHF 7.65CHF 4.702
Mar ’24CHF 7.50
CHF 8.53
+13.7%
10.3%CHF 9.40CHF 7.65CHF 4.102

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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