Trip.com Group Valuation

Is CLV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CLV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CLV (CHF62.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF126.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CLV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CLV?

Key metric: As CLV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CLV. This is calculated by dividing CLV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CLV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19x
EarningsCN¥16.21b
Market CapCN¥307.84b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CLV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CLV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.5x
LMN lastminute.com
14.7x14.6%CHF 173.5m
CCL Carnival Corporation &
17.1x14.8%US$32.3b
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
50.8x16.2%US$60.3b
AMS Amadeus IT Group
23.6x10.7%€29.9b
CLV Trip.com Group
19x10.1%CHF 42.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CLV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (26.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CLV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CLV 19.0xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CLV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CLV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CLV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CLV's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CLV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 62.61
CHF 69.38
+10.8%
11.3%CHF 90.87CHF 46.77n/a29
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 66.33
0%
9.5%CHF 76.67CHF 45.53n/a30
Nov ’25CHF 53.77
CHF 56.64
+5.3%
12.8%CHF 72.55CHF 41.30n/a30
Oct ’25CHF 50.79
CHF 54.50
+7.3%
12.0%CHF 68.06CHF 40.80n/a30
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 54.63
0%
12.0%CHF 68.34CHF 40.80n/a30
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 57.71
0%
10.2%CHF 70.01CHF 44.16n/a30
Jul ’25CHF 43.13
CHF 59.08
+37.0%
11.8%CHF 77.81CHF 44.72n/a30
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 60.40
0%
11.6%CHF 79.32CHF 45.59n/a30
May ’25CHF 47.80
CHF 50.61
+5.9%
10.1%CHF 65.27CHF 39.89n/a30
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 49.58
0%
9.9%CHF 64.79CHF 39.59n/a30
Mar ’25CHF 39.86
CHF 48.19
+20.9%
10.5%CHF 63.56CHF 38.84n/a31
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 42.71
0%
12.0%CHF 58.75CHF 30.65n/a31
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 43.23
0%
12.0%CHF 59.53CHF 31.06CHF 62.6131
Dec ’24CHF 30.94
CHF 43.46
+40.5%
12.0%CHF 59.90CHF 31.25n/a31
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 44.82
0%
10.9%CHF 59.72CHF 32.03CHF 53.7730
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 46.28
0%
9.9%CHF 61.45CHF 38.93CHF 50.7930
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 42.48
0%
8.9%CHF 51.77CHF 35.05n/a31
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 42.37
0%
8.9%CHF 50.46CHF 35.15n/a31
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 42.68
0%
9.9%CHF 51.93CHF 34.59CHF 43.1330
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 41.15
0%
10.0%CHF 51.15CHF 30.39n/a31
May ’24n/a
CHF 41.27
0%
10.0%CHF 51.37CHF 30.52CHF 47.8031
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 42.86
0%
10.1%CHF 53.91CHF 31.69n/a31
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 38.97
0%
11.2%CHF 49.50CHF 28.99CHF 39.8631
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 37.99
0%
10.7%CHF 47.28CHF 28.77n/a30
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 36.45
0%
11.5%CHF 48.05CHF 28.28n/a30

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/03 09:01
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Trip.com Group Limited is covered by 81 analysts. 37 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alicia YapBarclays
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Yanfang JiangBenchmark Company