Dollar Tree, Inc.

BRSE:DT3 Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 18.1b

Dollar Tree Valuation

Is DT3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DT3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: DT3 (CHF97.59) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF178.92)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: DT3 is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DT3?

Key metric: As DT3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DT3. This is calculated by dividing DT3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DT3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
EarningsUS$1.62b
Market CapUS$22.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DT3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DT3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.6x
8267 Aeon
40.6x11.65%JP¥3.8t
DG Dollar General
16.7x5.36%US$27.5b
CA Carrefour
12.9x5.51%€11.8b
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
20.3x6.00%US$11.6b
DT3 Dollar Tree
13.8x-0.78%CHF 22.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DT3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DT3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DT3 13.8xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DT3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DT3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DT3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DT3's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DT3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 97.59
CHF 110.53
+13.26%
14.28%CHF 137.75CHF 79.41n/a25
Sep ’27CHF 106.58
CHF 109.61
+2.84%
13.94%CHF 137.41CHF 79.21n/a25
Aug ’27CHF 103.24
CHF 102.92
-0.31%
16.88%CHF 137.42CHF 68.71n/a25
Jul ’27CHF 98.55
CHF 100.92
+2.40%
17.24%CHF 133.21CHF 68.62n/a24
Jun ’27n/a
CHF 97.74
0%
17.85%CHF 129.79CHF 66.86n/a24
May ’27n/a
CHF 97.61
0%
18.79%CHF 128.93CHF 62.51n/a23
Apr ’27n/a
CHF 98.74
0%
18.97%CHF 130.07CHF 63.06n/a23
Mar ’27n/a
CHF 96.33
0%
19.86%CHF 126.85CHF 57.66n/a23
Feb ’27n/a
CHF 94.03
0%
20.66%CHF 126.90CHF 57.68n/a23
Jan ’27n/a
CHF 93.69
0%
17.42%CHF 118.52CHF 59.66n/a23
Dec ’26n/a
CHF 86.22
0%
15.87%CHF 108.65CHF 56.34n/a23
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 86.11
0%
16.47%CHF 107.38CHF 55.68n/a23
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 88.76
0%
15.20%CHF 110.78CHF 59.35n/a23
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 89.43
0%
16.59%CHF 110.45CHF 56.03CHF 106.5823
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 80.81
0%
16.93%CHF 109.71CHF 55.65CHF 103.2423
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 77.09
0%
10.50%CHF 89.37CHF 56.36CHF 98.5523
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 72.22
0%
12.30%CHF 88.90CHF 57.62n/a22
May ’26n/a
CHF 70.98
0%
12.58%CHF 87.53CHF 59.36n/a23
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 73.30
0%
11.64%CHF 91.92CHF 61.87n/a23
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 75.27
0%
12.98%CHF 93.72CHF 62.48n/a25
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 76.68
0%
13.28%CHF 95.70CHF 63.80n/a25
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 75.13
0%
13.28%CHF 93.77CHF 62.51n/a25
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 72.65
0%
18.01%CHF 105.99CHF 56.53n/a25
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 73.78
0%
22.61%CHF 125.80CHF 53.79n/a26
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 72.60
0%
23.07%CHF 122.80CHF 52.51n/a25
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 111.49
0%
12.41%CHF 144.54CHF 89.27n/a24
CHF 111.7
Fair Value
12.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 06:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/14 00:00
Earnings2026/08/01
Annual Earnings2026/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Dollar Tree, Inc. is covered by 49 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
Seth SigmanBarclays
Meredith AdlerBarclays