Stock Analysis

Here's Why Adecco Group (VTX:ADEN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SWX:ADEN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Adecco Group AG (VTX:ADEN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Adecco Group

What Is Adecco Group's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Adecco Group had €1.97b of debt, up from €1.77b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €1.51b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €462.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:ADEN Debt to Equity History January 11th 2021

How Healthy Is Adecco Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Adecco Group had liabilities of €4.12b due within a year, and liabilities of €2.43b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.51b as well as receivables valued at €3.63b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €1.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Adecco Group has a titanic market capitalization of €9.03b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Adecco Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.66. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 20.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Adecco Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 46% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Adecco Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Adecco Group recorded free cash flow worth 76% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Adecco Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. All these things considered, it appears that Adecco Group can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Adecco Group you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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