Automatic Data Processing Valuation
Is ADP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ADP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
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Below Future Cash Flow Value: ADP (CHF225.64) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF246.8)
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: ADP is trading below future cash flow value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADP?
Key metric: As ADP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is ADP's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 24.4x |
| Earnings | US$4.41b |
| Market Cap | US$107.75b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 17x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ADP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 27.1x | ||
ADEN Adecco Group | 15.4x | 14.71% | CHF 4.3b |
SGSN SGS | 27.7x | 10.03% | CHF 18.4b |
6098 Recruit Holdings | 41.7x | 17.32% | JP¥24.2t |
PAYX Paychex | 23.5x | 8.45% | US$41.3b |
ADP Automatic Data Processing | 24.4x | 7.20% | CHF 107.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the peer average (27.1x).
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio
Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.
Fetching historical data
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ADP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?
| 3 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (17.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ADP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 24.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ADP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CHF 225.64 | CHF 234.86 +4.09% | 7.56% | CHF 262.95 | CHF 183.74 | n/a | 15 |
| Sep ’27 | n/a | CHF 232.72 0% | 7.56% | CHF 260.55 | CHF 182.06 | n/a | 15 |
| Aug ’27 | n/a | CHF 231.73 0% | 7.65% | CHF 260.30 | CHF 181.88 | n/a | 15 |
| Jul ’27 | CHF 190.60 | CHF 199.58 +4.71% | 11.96% | CHF 246.64 | CHF 153.65 | n/a | 15 |
| Jun ’27 | n/a | CHF 193.77 0% | 12.08% | CHF 239.92 | CHF 149.46 | n/a | 15 |
| May ’27 | n/a | CHF 192.87 0% | 12.69% | CHF 238.42 | CHF 148.52 | n/a | 15 |
| Apr ’27 | n/a | CHF 211.41 0% | 13.37% | CHF 265.46 | CHF 166.31 | n/a | 15 |
| Mar ’27 | n/a | CHF 214.49 0% | 9.51% | CHF 257.34 | CHF 178.28 | n/a | 14 |
| Feb ’27 | n/a | CHF 216.27 0% | 8.55% | CHF 256.64 | CHF 177.79 | n/a | 14 |
| Jan ’27 | n/a | CHF 229.34 0% | 8.25% | CHF 262.97 | CHF 182.18 | n/a | 13 |
| Dec ’26 | n/a | CHF 236.37 0% | 7.63% | CHF 267.63 | CHF 197.49 | n/a | 13 |
| Nov ’26 | n/a | CHF 235.95 0% | 7.63% | CHF 267.14 | CHF 197.14 | n/a | 13 |
| Oct ’26 | n/a | CHF 253.73 0% | 4.35% | CHF 271.14 | CHF 231.27 | n/a | 12 |
| Sep ’26 | n/a | CHF 259.07 0% | 3.45% | CHF 275.04 | CHF 246.73 | n/a | 12 |
| Aug ’26 | n/a | CHF 259.67 0% | 4.11% | CHF 281.78 | CHF 245.55 | n/a | 13 |
| Jul ’26 | n/a | CHF 251.87 0% | 4.62% | CHF 279.97 | CHF 232.86 | CHF 190.60 | 15 |
| Jun ’26 | n/a | CHF 258.13 0% | 4.65% | CHF 289.63 | CHF 239.98 | n/a | 15 |
| May ’26 | n/a | CHF 256.40 0% | 4.84% | CHF 290.35 | CHF 235.73 | n/a | 15 |
| Apr ’26 | n/a | CHF 271.20 0% | 5.02% | CHF 306.78 | CHF 249.06 | n/a | 15 |
| Mar ’26 | n/a | CHF 277.23 0% | 4.93% | CHF 314.00 | CHF 254.93 | n/a | 15 |
| Feb ’26 | n/a | CHF 280.63 0% | 5.23% | CHF 318.75 | CHF 256.01 | n/a | 15 |
| Jan ’26 | n/a | CHF 261.39 0% | 5.00% | CHF 286.15 | CHF 237.72 | n/a | 16 |
| Dec ’25 | n/a | CHF 261.39 0% | 5.00% | CHF 286.15 | CHF 237.72 | n/a | 16 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | CHF 256.83 0% | 4.82% | CHF 282.95 | CHF 235.06 | n/a | 14 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | CHF 234.02 0% | 4.62% | CHF 262.15 | CHF 219.87 | n/a | 16 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | CHF 231.05 0% | 4.54% | CHF 260.89 | CHF 218.81 | n/a | 16 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/20 21:43 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/16 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Mark Marcon | Baird |
| Gary Bisbee | Barclays |