Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Zwahlen & Mayr SA's (VTX:ZWM) Muted Earnings Despite A 28% Share Price Rise

SWX:ZWM
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Zwahlen & Mayr SA (VTX:ZWM) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 7.0% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Switzerland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 22x, you may still consider Zwahlen & Mayr as an attractive investment with its 15.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Zwahlen & Mayr over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Zwahlen & Mayr

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:ZWM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 31st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zwahlen & Mayr will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

Zwahlen & Mayr's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 41%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Zwahlen & Mayr's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Zwahlen & Mayr's P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Zwahlen & Mayr maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Zwahlen & Mayr (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zwahlen & Mayr might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.