Stadler Rail Valuation
Is SRAIL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of SRAIL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: SRAIL (CHF27.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CHF22.73)
Significantly Below Fair Value: SRAIL is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SRAIL?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is SRAIL's n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | CHF 2.75b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.7x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 9.2x |
PEG Ratio | 1.1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does SRAIL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 25x | ||
BUCN Bucher Industries | 12.2x | -1.3% | CHF 3.6b |
DAE Dätwyler Holding | 40x | 23.8% | CHF 2.9b |
INRN Interroll Holding | 30.1x | 11.2% | CHF 2.1b |
SUN Sulzer | 17.9x | 11.1% | CHF 4.3b |
SRAIL Stadler Rail | 22.1x | 21.1% | CHF 2.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SRAIL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the peer average (25x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does SRAIL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SRAIL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is SRAIL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 22.1x |
Fair PE Ratio | 26.4x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SRAIL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | CHF 27.50 | CHF 28.09 +2.1% | 9.8% | CHF 34.10 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 7 |
Aug ’25 | CHF 26.95 | CHF 28.16 +4.5% | 9.7% | CHF 34.10 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 7 |
Jul ’25 | CHF 25.55 | CHF 29.70 +16.2% | 14.8% | CHF 39.00 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 8 |
Jun ’25 | CHF 27.55 | CHF 30.62 +11.1% | 14.2% | CHF 39.00 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 10 |
May ’25 | CHF 27.30 | CHF 30.62 +12.2% | 14.2% | CHF 39.00 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 10 |
Apr ’25 | CHF 28.72 | CHF 30.62 +6.6% | 14.2% | CHF 39.00 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 10 |
Mar ’25 | CHF 28.48 | CHF 32.67 +14.7% | 16.2% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 10 |
Feb ’25 | CHF 27.56 | CHF 32.67 +18.5% | 16.2% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 25.00 | n/a | 10 |
Jan ’25 | CHF 30.28 | CHF 34.62 +14.3% | 14.4% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 25.50 | n/a | 10 |
Dec ’24 | CHF 32.72 | CHF 35.32 +7.9% | 13.8% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 25.50 | n/a | 10 |
Nov ’24 | CHF 30.62 | CHF 35.18 +14.9% | 15.5% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 25.50 | n/a | 9 |
Oct ’24 | CHF 35.76 | CHF 35.18 -1.6% | 15.5% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 25.50 | n/a | 9 |
Sep ’24 | CHF 35.44 | CHF 34.61 -2.3% | 15.7% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 25.50 | n/a | 9 |
Aug ’24 | CHF 35.06 | CHF 33.89 -3.3% | 17.9% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 26.95 | 9 |
Jul ’24 | CHF 34.96 | CHF 33.61 -3.9% | 18.2% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 25.55 | 9 |
Jun ’24 | CHF 34.34 | CHF 33.61 -2.1% | 18.2% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 27.55 | 9 |
May ’24 | CHF 37.08 | CHF 33.61 -9.4% | 18.2% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 27.30 | 9 |
Apr ’24 | CHF 35.70 | CHF 33.61 -5.9% | 18.2% | CHF 42.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 28.72 | 9 |
Mar ’24 | CHF 37.80 | CHF 35.00 -7.4% | 20.3% | CHF 43.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 28.48 | 9 |
Feb ’24 | CHF 34.96 | CHF 35.00 +0.1% | 20.3% | CHF 43.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 27.56 | 9 |
Jan ’24 | CHF 32.80 | CHF 34.22 +4.3% | 21.9% | CHF 43.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 30.28 | 9 |
Dec ’23 | CHF 32.86 | CHF 35.69 +8.6% | 23.0% | CHF 49.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 32.72 | 10 |
Nov ’23 | CHF 29.78 | CHF 35.79 +20.2% | 23.1% | CHF 49.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 30.62 | 10 |
Oct ’23 | CHF 27.32 | CHF 35.79 +31.0% | 23.1% | CHF 49.00 | CHF 22.00 | CHF 35.76 | 10 |
Sep ’23 | CHF 30.12 | CHF 36.25 +20.4% | 21.1% | CHF 49.00 | CHF 25.00 | CHF 35.44 | 10 |
Aug ’23 | CHF 30.74 | CHF 36.95 +20.2% | 22.0% | CHF 49.00 | CHF 25.00 | CHF 35.06 | 10 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.