OC Oerlikon Corporation AG

SWX:OERL Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 1.2b

OC Oerlikon Valuation

Is OERL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OERL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OERL (CHF3.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF8.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OERL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OERL?

Key metric: As OERL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OERL. This is calculated by dividing OERL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OERL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesCHF 2.42b
Market CapCHF 1.20b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OERL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OERL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
INRN Interroll Holding
3.1x7.7%CHF 1.7b
BYS Bystronic
0.8x1.0%CHF 637.9m
DAE Dätwyler Holding
2x5.5%CHF 2.2b
KARN Kardex Holding
2.9x5.9%CHF 2.0b
OERL OC Oerlikon
0.5x3.7%CHF 1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OERL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OERL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CH Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PS range
OERL 0.5xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies5PS00.81.62.43.24+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OERL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the Swiss Machinery industry average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OERL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OERL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OERL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OERL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 3.69
CHF 4.49
+21.7%
13.0%CHF 5.24CHF 3.70n/a8
Nov ’25CHF 3.98
CHF 4.85
+21.9%
6.5%CHF 5.24CHF 4.50n/a8
Oct ’25CHF 4.55
CHF 4.83
+6.0%
5.8%CHF 5.24CHF 4.50n/a7
Sep ’25CHF 4.81
CHF 4.83
+0.4%
5.8%CHF 5.24CHF 4.50n/a7
Aug ’25CHF 4.95
CHF 4.69
-5.2%
5.1%CHF 5.20CHF 4.50n/a7
Jul ’25CHF 4.89
CHF 4.60
-5.9%
2.7%CHF 4.80CHF 4.50n/a6
Jun ’25CHF 5.01
CHF 4.54
-9.3%
4.1%CHF 4.80CHF 4.18n/a7
May ’25CHF 3.99
CHF 4.25
+6.4%
6.2%CHF 4.75CHF 3.90n/a7
Apr ’25CHF 3.97
CHF 4.25
+6.9%
6.2%CHF 4.75CHF 3.90n/a7
Mar ’25CHF 4.30
CHF 4.25
-1.3%
6.2%CHF 4.75CHF 3.90n/a7
Feb ’25CHF 3.64
CHF 4.20
+15.6%
7.3%CHF 4.75CHF 3.80n/a7
Jan ’25CHF 3.80
CHF 4.28
+12.8%
6.0%CHF 4.75CHF 3.90n/a7
Dec ’24CHF 3.51
CHF 4.31
+22.7%
5.2%CHF 4.75CHF 4.10n/a7
Nov ’24CHF 3.54
CHF 4.42
+24.9%
4.6%CHF 4.75CHF 4.10CHF 3.986
Oct ’24CHF 3.89
CHF 5.54
+42.3%
26.9%CHF 8.00CHF 4.10CHF 4.555
Sep ’24CHF 4.37
CHF 5.83
+33.5%
20.6%CHF 8.00CHF 4.35CHF 4.816
Aug ’24CHF 4.73
CHF 6.15
+29.9%
16.0%CHF 8.00CHF 4.80CHF 4.956
Jul ’24CHF 4.46
CHF 6.25
+40.3%
16.1%CHF 8.00CHF 4.80CHF 4.896
Jun ’24CHF 4.49
CHF 6.25
+39.3%
16.1%CHF 8.00CHF 4.80CHF 5.016
May ’24CHF 4.98
CHF 7.02
+41.0%
9.8%CHF 8.00CHF 6.00CHF 3.996
Apr ’24CHF 5.16
CHF 7.07
+37.1%
10.1%CHF 8.00CHF 6.00CHF 3.976
Mar ’24CHF 5.81
CHF 7.04
+21.2%
11.6%CHF 8.00CHF 6.00CHF 4.305
Feb ’24CHF 6.36
CHF 8.10
+27.5%
9.1%CHF 9.40CHF 7.00CHF 3.646
Jan ’24CHF 6.06
CHF 8.50
+40.3%
11.4%CHF 10.20CHF 7.00CHF 3.806
Dec ’23CHF 6.35
CHF 8.50
+33.9%
11.4%CHF 10.20CHF 7.00CHF 3.516
Nov ’23CHF 6.53
CHF 9.38
+43.8%
10.6%CHF 11.30CHF 8.50CHF 3.546

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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