With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.4x Kardex Holding AG (VTX:KARN) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Switzerland have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent earnings growth for Kardex Holding has been in line with the market. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this modest earnings performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Kardex Holding
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kardex Holding would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.4%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 96% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 11% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Kardex Holding is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Kardex Holding currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kardex Holding you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kardex Holding, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kardex Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:KARN
Kardex Holding
Provides intralogistics solutions, automated storage solutions, and materials handling systems worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.
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