It's not a stretch to say that Arbonia AG's (VTX:ARBN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Building industry in Switzerland, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Arbonia
How Arbonia Has Been Performing
The recently shrinking revenue for Arbonia has been in line with the industry. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will continue to follow the rest of the industry. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue if you still believe in the business. In saying that, existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the share price if the company's revenue continues tracking the industry.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Arbonia will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Arbonia's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Arbonia's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.8%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.6% per annum as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 2.3% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Arbonia's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What Does Arbonia's P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
A Arbonia's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Building industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Arbonia you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:ARBN
Arbonia
Engages in the supply of building components in Switzerland, Germany, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.