Continental Aktiengesellschaft

SWX:CONT Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 11.3b

Continental Valuation

Is CONT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CONT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CONT (CHF144.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF445.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CONT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CONT?

Key metric: As CONT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CONT. This is calculated by dividing CONT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CONT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.5x
Earnings€817.40m
Market Cap€11.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CONT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CONT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
AUTN Autoneum Holding
18.9x26.9%CHF 595.7m
FTON Feintool International Holding
28.3x78.2%CHF 229.7m
MG Magna International
11.6x17.4%CA$17.6b
APTV Aptiv
5.1x-15.8%US$12.4b
CONT Continental
14.5x25.6%CHF 11.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CONT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the peer average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CONT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CONT 14.5xIndustry Avg. 9.4xNo. of Companies8PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CONT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CONT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CONT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.5x
Fair PE Ratio21.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CONT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CONT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 71.32
0%
18.0%CHF 102.09CHF 51.05n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 71.32
0%
18.0%CHF 102.09CHF 51.05n/a18
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 71.32
0%
18.0%CHF 102.09CHF 51.05n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 71.32
0%
18.0%CHF 102.09CHF 51.05n/a18
Aug ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 73.31
-49.3%
18.3%CHF 105.41CHF 52.71n/a19
Jul ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 74.15
-48.7%
17.9%CHF 104.72CHF 52.36n/a19
Jun ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 80.27
-44.5%
15.5%CHF 105.94CHF 57.87n/a18
May ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 80.90
-44.1%
13.3%CHF 104.70CHF 60.11n/a18
Apr ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 85.09
-41.2%
23.5%CHF 157.30CHF 64.66n/a17
Mar ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 84.15
-41.8%
23.9%CHF 153.48CHF 63.09n/a16
Feb ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 83.15
-42.5%
24.0%CHF 152.07CHF 62.51n/a16
Jan ’25CHF 144.60
CHF 82.90
-42.7%
24.1%CHF 154.54CHF 66.37n/a16
Dec ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 82.13
-43.2%
25.6%CHF 156.29CHF 64.64n/a16
Nov ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 78.26
-45.9%
26.4%CHF 155.07CHF 64.13n/a17
Oct ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 79.48
-45.0%
26.6%CHF 155.36CHF 64.25n/a16
Sep ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 79.09
-45.3%
26.7%CHF 154.72CHF 63.99n/a16
Aug ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 81.10
-43.9%
26.5%CHF 155.13CHF 62.44CHF 144.6016
Jul ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 80.19
-44.5%
26.7%CHF 155.02CHF 63.37CHF 144.6016
Jun ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 80.19
-44.5%
26.7%CHF 155.02CHF 63.37CHF 144.6016
May ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 80.92
-44.0%
26.9%CHF 156.42CHF 61.00CHF 144.6016
Apr ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 80.56
-44.3%
24.9%CHF 148.84CHF 64.50CHF 144.6016
Mar ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 76.59
-47.0%
24.8%CHF 144.12CHF 58.24CHF 144.6017
Feb ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 76.05
-47.4%
26.5%CHF 145.75CHF 51.91CHF 144.6017
Jan ’24CHF 144.60
CHF 72.43
-49.9%
30.1%CHF 143.99CHF 45.37CHF 144.6018
Dec ’23CHF 144.60
CHF 71.48
-50.6%
30.2%CHF 142.31CHF 44.84CHF 144.6018
Nov ’23CHF 144.60
CHF 71.76
-50.4%
30.2%CHF 141.46CHF 45.19CHF 144.6019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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