Stock Analysis

Autoneum Holding (VTX:AUTN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SWX:AUTN
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Autoneum Holding AG (VTX:AUTN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Autoneum Holding

What Is Autoneum Holding's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Autoneum Holding had CHF327.2m of debt in December 2023, down from CHF375.8m, one year before. However, it also had CHF149.4m in cash, and so its net debt is CHF177.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:AUTN Debt to Equity History June 10th 2024

A Look At Autoneum Holding's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Autoneum Holding had liabilities of CHF507.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of CHF626.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CHF149.4m as well as receivables valued at CHF346.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CHF638.8m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CHF809.0m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Autoneum Holding has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.6, its interest cover seems weak, at 0.97. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. We also note that Autoneum Holding improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CHF24m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Autoneum Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Autoneum Holding actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Autoneum Holding's interest cover and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. We think that Autoneum Holding's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Autoneum Holding has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.