Ferrari Valuation

Is RACE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RACE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CHF 52.85
Fair Value
429.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: RACE (CHF280) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CHF52.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RACE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RACE?

Key metric: As RACE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RACE. This is calculated by dividing RACE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RACE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47x
Earnings€1.52b
Market Cap€71.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RACE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RACE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.7x
VOW3 Volkswagen
4.5x12.7%€49.3b
GM General Motors
6.5x6.2%US$47.0b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
6.5x7.5%€47.0b
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
5.3x2.9%€53.6b
RACE Ferrari
47x9.2%CHF 71.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate RACE's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RACE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RACE 47.0xIndustry Avg. 17.6xNo. of Companies19PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RACE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RACE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RACE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RACE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RACE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 416.96
0%
13.6%CHF 522.96CHF 343.55n/a13
Mar ’26CHF 280.00
CHF 414.54
+48.0%
12.1%CHF 478.95CHF 336.76n/a14
Feb ’26CHF 280.00
CHF 400.77
+43.1%
11.4%CHF 464.19CHF 328.88n/a14
Jan ’26CHF 280.00
CHF 397.38
+41.9%
10.9%CHF 446.83CHF 329.24n/a14
Dec ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 397.38
+41.9%
10.9%CHF 446.83CHF 329.24n/a14
Nov ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 387.31
+38.3%
12.4%CHF 448.59CHF 308.41n/a14
Oct ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 376.15
+34.3%
14.0%CHF 444.94CHF 263.21n/a14
Sep ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 367.35
+31.2%
14.0%CHF 442.31CHF 261.66n/a14
Aug ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 364.63
+30.2%
14.1%CHF 447.79CHF 264.90n/a14
Jul ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 367.58
+31.3%
13.8%CHF 454.01CHF 270.29n/a14
Jun ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 369.61
+32.0%
13.5%CHF 466.73CHF 277.86n/a14
May ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 356.79
+27.4%
14.1%CHF 458.43CHF 270.98n/a14
Apr ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 348.34
+24.4%
12.3%CHF 451.22CHF 279.70n/a14
Mar ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 326.96
+16.8%
10.7%CHF 405.69CHF 271.41CHF 280.0015
Feb ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 306.29
+9.4%
12.4%CHF 387.83CHF 242.40CHF 280.0015
Jan ’25CHF 280.00
CHF 304.89
+8.9%
13.0%CHF 393.90CHF 245.24CHF 280.0014
Dec ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 309.48
+10.5%
13.1%CHF 401.34CHF 249.87CHF 280.0014
Nov ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 292.76
+4.6%
10.0%CHF 344.64CHF 238.01CHF 280.0014
Oct ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 293.55
+4.8%
10.4%CHF 349.63CHF 241.46CHF 280.0015
Sep ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 286.52
+2.3%
11.5%CHF 345.74CHF 238.77CHF 280.0015
Aug ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 280.59
+0.2%
12.7%CHF 345.88CHF 238.87CHF 280.0015
Jul ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 276.41
-1.3%
15.3%CHF 353.99CHF 185.79CHF 280.0015
Jun ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 266.91
-4.7%
13.7%CHF 316.78CHF 185.19CHF 280.0016
May ’24CHF 280.00
CHF 255.19
-8.9%
11.7%CHF 304.05CHF 184.39CHF 280.0016
Apr ’24CHF 247.00
CHF 252.14
+2.1%
13.8%CHF 297.80CHF 179.67CHF 280.0016
Mar ’24CHF 246.93
CHF 248.82
+0.8%
14.3%CHF 299.99CHF 177.00CHF 280.0015
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
CHF 304.63
Fair Value
8.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/29 05:35
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/17 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ferrari N.V. is covered by 39 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gabriele GambarovaBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Carmen NovelBanca Akros S.p.A. (ESN)
Henning CosmanBarclays