Stock Analysis

Innergex Renewable Energy (TSE:INE) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

TSX:INE
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. (TSE:INE) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Innergex Renewable Energy

What Is Innergex Renewable Energy's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Innergex Renewable Energy had CA$5.72b of debt, up from CA$4.85b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CA$216.9m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$5.50b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:INE Debt to Equity History January 11th 2023

A Look At Innergex Renewable Energy's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Innergex Renewable Energy had liabilities of CA$628.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$6.32b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$216.9m as well as receivables valued at CA$150.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$6.58b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$3.19b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Innergex Renewable Energy would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Innergex Renewable Energy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.3 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Fortunately, Innergex Renewable Energy grew its EBIT by 4.5% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Innergex Renewable Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Innergex Renewable Energy burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Innergex Renewable Energy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Innergex Renewable Energy has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Innergex Renewable Energy is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.