Stock Analysis

Innergex Renewable Energy (TSE:INE) Has No Shortage Of Debt

TSX:INE
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. (TSE:INE) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Innergex Renewable Energy

How Much Debt Does Innergex Renewable Energy Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Innergex Renewable Energy had CA$6.04b of debt, an increase on CA$4.74b, over one year. However, it also had CA$157.2m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$5.89b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:INE Debt to Equity History June 13th 2023

How Strong Is Innergex Renewable Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Innergex Renewable Energy had liabilities of CA$514.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$6.88b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$157.2m and CA$185.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$7.06b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$2.77b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Innergex Renewable Energy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Innergex Renewable Energy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.89 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Another concern for investors might be that Innergex Renewable Energy's EBIT fell 13% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Innergex Renewable Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Innergex Renewable Energy recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

On the face of it, Innergex Renewable Energy's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow fails to inspire much confidence. It looks to us like Innergex Renewable Energy carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Innergex Renewable Energy , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.