Capital Power Corporation

TSX:CPX Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$10.2b

Capital Power Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Capital Power is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.2% and 4.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.5% in 3 years.

Key information

32.2%

Earnings growth rate

31.32%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy earnings growth7.6%
Revenue growth rate4.1%
Future return on equity11.54%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • May 04

Downgrade: Here's How Analysts See Capital Power Corporation (TSE:CPX) Performing In The Near Term

The analysts covering Capital Power Corporation ( TSE:CPX ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...
Narrative Update • Apr 27

CPX: Fair Value View Will Depend On Profit Margins And New Finance Leadership

Analysts have inched their CA$ fair value estimate for Capital Power up to about CA$74.63 per share, citing updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and forward P/E expectations following recent research updates and a CA$1 price target increase at CIBC. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the recent CA$1 price target adjustment as support for the updated fair value estimate around CA$74.63 per share.
Narrative Update • Apr 12

CPX: Reliability Focus And New Finance Leadership Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Capital Power steady at about CA$74.54, with only very small tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E assumptions. This reflects incremental model updates rather than a major change in view.
Narrative Update • Mar 28

CPX: Future Returns Will Reflect Extended Arlington Contract And Uprate Benefits

Analysts have adjusted Capital Power's target price to CA$82 from CA$80, reflecting updated views on the company’s risk profile and earnings outlook while maintaining a broadly consistent long term valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates suggest that analysts are reassessing Capital Power's risk and earnings profile while keeping their core valuation approach largely intact.
Narrative Update • Mar 10

CPX: Future Returns Will Reflect Long Dated Arlington Cash Flows And Uprate Benefits

Analysts have nudged their Capital Power price target up by CA$2 to CA$82. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E that align with recent Street research.
Narrative Update • Feb 23

CPX: Future Returns Will Reflect Long Dated Arlington Cash Flows And Uprate Benefits

Analysts have adjusted their view on Capital Power, with one firm lifting its price target to CA$82 from CA$80, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher CA$82 price target as support for their updated assumptions on Capital Power's P/E, suggesting they see room for the shares to reflect those revised earnings multiples over time.
Analysis Article • Feb 13

Does Capital Power (TSE:CPX) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update • Feb 09

CPX: Future Returns Will Reflect Long Dated Arlington Tolling Cash Flows

Narrative Update on Capital Power Analysts have nudged their price target on Capital Power to C$82 from C$80, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Capital Power focuses on how updated assumptions feed into valuation and execution risks, rather than any single near term catalyst.
Narrative Update • Jan 24

CPX: Future Returns Will Reflect Long Term Contracted U.S. Gas Cash Flows

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Capital Power higher to about C$74.71 from roughly C$74.46, citing a series of recent price target increases across the Street that reflect updated views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Capital Power cluster tightly in a C$73 to C$82 fair value range, which helps explain the modest move higher in the aggregated fair value estimate.
Narrative Update • Jan 08

CPX: Future Returns Will Reflect Long Term Contracted And Merchant Cash Flows

Analysts have raised their price targets on Capital Power into a C$73 to C$85 range, with several firms moving to around C$80 to C$82, citing updated views on valuation inputs such as discount rates and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a tight cluster of targets between C$73 and C$85, with several bullish analysts moving into the C$80 to C$82 area.
Narrative Update • Dec 18

CPX: Future Performance Will Reflect Long Term Contracted Cash Flow From New Projects

The analyst price target for Capital Power has been increased by C$1.00. This change reflects analysts' view that stronger revenue growth prospects and a higher future earnings multiple more than offset slightly lower profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate.
Narrative Update • Dec 04

CPX: Future Performance Will Reflect Long Term Contracted Cash Flow Upside

Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target for Capital Power to about C$80, reflecting increased confidence in the company’s underappreciated growth profile, resilient margins, and U.S.-like expansion prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a broadly constructive view on Capital Power, with multiple firms raising their price targets and reiterating positive ratings in quick succession.
Narrative Update • Nov 20

CPX: Future Performance Will Reflect Recent Storage and Contract Wins Driving Upside

The analyst price target for Capital Power saw a modest decrease of $0.50 to $75.46 per share, as analysts cite adjustments in fair value and discount rate. This comes despite ongoing positive sentiment highlighted by several recent price target increases across major investment firms.
Narrative Update • Nov 05

CPX: Future Performance Will Reflect Weighing New Projects Against Margin Pressures

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Capital Power, increasing it from approximately C$74 to C$76. They cite a series of upward target revisions across the Street that reflect confidence in the company's outlook, despite tempered growth estimates.
Narrative Update • Oct 22

Analysts Raise Targets for Capital Power on Improved Margins and Strong Growth Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Capital Power, increasing the fair value estimate from approximately C$69 to nearly C$74. The upward revision is supported by improved profit margins and continued confidence in the company's growth prospects.
Analysis Article • Oct 09

Capital Power Corporation's (TSE:CPX) 29% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

Capital Power Corporation ( TSE:CPX ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the...
Narrative Update • Oct 08

North American Demand Trends Will Expose Overvaluation Risks

Analysts have increased their average price target for Capital Power, raising it by approximately C$1.45 to C$69.04. They cite the company's underappreciated growth prospects and consistent upward revisions from multiple firms.
Narrative Update • Sep 20

North American Demand Trends Will Expose Overvaluation Risks

Consensus analyst price targets for Capital Power have been revised upward, reflecting stronger earnings momentum, improved cash flow forecasts, and enhanced growth visibility from portfolio diversification and a favorable policy environment, resulting in a new target of CA$67.59. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite stronger-than-expected earnings momentum, leading to increased confidence in management’s execution.
Analysis Article • Sep 09

Capital Power (TSE:CPX) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update • Aug 27

North American Demand Trends Will Expose Overvaluation Risks

Despite a substantial increase in consensus revenue growth projections and a notable decline in future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for Capital Power has been modestly reduced from CA$66.73 to CA$64.55. What's in the News Capital Power announced a 6% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.6910 per share, raising its annualized dividend to $2.764 per common share.
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New Narrative • Dec 06

Genesee Repower's Soaring CapEx And Carbon Compliance Costs Threaten Profit Margins

High CapEx for projects like Genesee Repower may lower profitability, affecting earnings through increased capital outlay requirements.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:CPX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20284,2125591,3051,2625
12/31/20273,9434801,0671,2507
12/31/20263,8583377511,1957
3/31/20263,838232241,064N/A
12/31/20253,61516098962N/A
9/30/20253,3733832241,195N/A
6/30/20253,189409-281,027N/A
3/31/20253,535648-1201,020N/A
12/31/20243,677699741,144N/A
9/30/20243,793520-231688N/A
6/30/20243,881613-18932N/A
3/31/20243,951626-48807N/A
12/31/20234,06871099822N/A
9/30/20234,012517224882N/A
6/30/20233,646276152772N/A
3/31/20233,480266233869N/A
12/31/20222,71299253935N/A
9/30/20222,4421273771,078N/A
6/30/20222,0321304021,055N/A
3/31/20221,707674191,076N/A
12/31/20211,75744245867N/A
9/30/20211,622112352841N/A
6/30/20211,718179372752N/A
3/31/20211,783183398714N/A
12/31/20201,79182293611N/A
9/30/20201,852262288653N/A
6/30/20201,915-72113604N/A
3/31/20201,85214-56627N/A
12/31/20191,71376N/A720N/A
9/30/20191,49433N/A652N/A
6/30/20191,383281N/A508N/A
3/31/20191,351242N/A503N/A
12/31/20181,272223N/A450N/A
9/30/20181,18675N/A392N/A
6/30/20181,13053N/A447N/A
3/31/20181,01097N/A416N/A
12/31/20171,046108N/A372N/A
9/30/20171,093149N/A366N/A
6/30/20171,146224N/A351N/A
3/31/20171,189141N/A343N/A
12/31/20161,19988N/A375N/A
9/30/20161,25897N/A420N/A
6/30/20161,35780N/A499N/A
3/31/20161,21522N/A443N/A
12/31/20151,24167N/A419N/A
9/30/20151,34271N/A412N/A
6/30/20151,121-24N/A330N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CPX's forecast earnings growth (32.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: CPX's earnings (32.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (10.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CPX's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CPX's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (4.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CPX's revenue (4.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CPX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/22 21:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Capital Power Corporation is covered by 18 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
Benjamin PhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Thomas Sellers MericBrean Capital Historical (Janney Montgomery)