Capital Power Corporation

TSX:CPX.PRA Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$7.9b

Capital Power Valuation

Is CPX.PRA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CPX.PRA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CPX.PRA (CA$16.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$48.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CPX.PRA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CPX.PRA?

Key metric: As CPX.PRA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CPX.PRA. This is calculated by dividing CPX.PRA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CPX.PRA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.4x
EarningsCA$520.00m
Market CapCA$7.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CPX.PRA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CPX.PRA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.1x
TA TransAlta
28.4x-34.9%CA$4.5b
MXG Maxim Power
7.5xn/aCA$327.2m
BLX Boralex
34.5x18.7%CA$3.1b
RNW TransAlta Renewables
42.2x46.4%CA$3.3b
CPX.PRA Capital Power
15.4x-10.6%CA$7.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CPX.PRA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (23.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CPX.PRA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Renewable Energy Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CPX.PRA 15.4xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CPX.PRA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the Global Renewable Energy industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CPX.PRA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CPX.PRA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CPX.PRA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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