ATCO Ltd.

TSX:ACO.X Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$7.8b

ATCO Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

ATCO is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 30.2% and 10.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 30.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.5% in 3 years.

Key information

30.2%

Earnings growth rate

30.08%

EPS growth rate

Integrated Utilities earnings growth13.8%
Revenue growth rate10.3%
Future return on equity9.48%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 01

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities And Buybacks Will Support Steady Returns As Sentiment Improves

The analyst fair value estimate for ATCO has moved from CA$67.43 to CA$68.86. This change reflects a series of recent Street price target increases in the CA$66 to CA$72 range that analysts attribute to updated assumptions on future P/E, as well as stable profit margin and revenue growth inputs.
Narrative Update • Apr 16

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities And Buybacks Will Support Steady Returns At Current Pricing

Analysts have lifted the consolidated ATCO price target to CA$67, a move influenced by a series of Street updates that now cluster between CA$66 and CA$72 and reflect reassessments of the company based on recent research views rather than changes to the underlying model inputs. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around ATCO centers on a tighter band of price targets between CA$66 and CA$72, with most firms reiterating neutral to moderately positive ratings.
Narrative Update • Mar 31

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities And Payout Policy Will Support Steady Returns And Buybacks

Analysts have lifted the consensus price target for ATCO to CA$67, from a previous range of CA$57 to CA$72 in recent reports, citing updated views on the company that support a CA$67 fair value in the current model. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a tighter cluster of fair value estimates around CA$67, with several firms adjusting their price targets into a CA$66 to CA$72 range.
Narrative Update • Mar 17

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities And Dividend Policy Will Support Steady Returns And Buybacks

Analyst price targets for ATCO have moved higher to CA$67 from CA$65.43, reflecting a cluster of recent target increases from TD Securities, Scotiabank, RBC Capital, BMO Capital and CIBC, with analysts linking their updates to revised fair value estimates and slightly adjusted discount rate and forward P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on ATCO cluster around higher fair value estimates and modestly revised valuation inputs, with new price targets ranging from CA$66 to CA$72.
Narrative Update • Mar 03

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities And Dividend Policy Will Likely Support Steady Total Return

The analyst price target for ATCO has moved up from CA$60.43 to CA$65.43, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of their refreshed view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around higher fair value estimates for ATCO, with targets ranging from CA$66 to CA$72.
Analysis Article • Feb 07

ATCO's (TSE:ACO.X) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

ATCO Ltd. ( TSE:ACO.X ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on...
Narrative Update • Jan 27

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities And Dividend Increases Will Likely Support Neutral Return Profile

The analyst price target for ATCO has inched up from C$60.29 to C$60.43 as analysts factor in slightly higher modeled revenue growth and a marginally lower discount rate, consistent with recent price target increases across several firms that maintain more neutral ratings on the shares. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on ATCO clusters around moderate price target increases, with ratings that remain broadly neutral.
Analysis Article • Jan 13

ATCO's (TSE:ACO.X) Dividend Will Be Increased To CA$0.5196

ATCO Ltd. ( TSE:ACO.X ) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 31st of March to...
Narrative Update • Jan 12

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities And Dividend Increases Will Likely Offset Power Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their 12 month price targets on ATCO higher, to a range of C$51 to C$64, citing expectations for solid regulated utility performance in upcoming Q3 results, softer power generation trends, and a preference for maintaining some regulated exposure as markets and credit spreads remain volatile. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive tone around ATCO, with several price targets now clustered in the C$51 to C$64 range.
Analysis Article • Jan 04

Here's Why ATCO (TSE:ACO.X) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update • Dec 25

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities Will Likely Support Modest Upside Despite Power Segment Headwinds

ATCO's analyst price target has edged higher by roughly C$2, as analysts point to slightly stronger long term revenue growth assumptions, a marginally lower discount rate, and modestly higher future valuation multiples despite a small pullback in projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a generally constructive stance on ATCO, with a series of incremental price target increases clustered in the mid C$50s.
Narrative Update • Dec 11

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities Will Likely Support Modest Upside Amid Fair Valuation

ATCO's analyst price target has inched higher to approximately C$58, reflecting a series of upward revisions from C$51 to C$64 as analysts factor in steadier regulated utility performance, alongside moderated expectations for its power operations in a more volatile market backdrop. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts continue to edge price targets higher across the board, signaling improving confidence in ATCO's ability to execute on its regulated utility strategy while managing exposure to more cyclical power markets.
Narrative Update • Nov 26

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities Will Likely Sustain Performance as Sector Trends Remain Steady

ATCO's analyst price target has modestly increased from $57.50 to $58.33, as analysts cite resilient regulated utility performance and steady sector trends as reasons for their upward revisions. Analyst Commentary Recently, analysts have updated their perspectives and target prices for ATCO, reflecting a blend of optimism for the company’s regulated utility segment and tempered caution for areas like power generation and market volatility.
Analysis Article • Nov 23

ATCO (TSE:ACO.X) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Narrative Update • Nov 11

ACO.X: Regulated Utilities Segment Will Likely Support Steady Performance Amid Volatility

The consensus analyst price target for ATCO has increased from approximately C$55.71 to C$57.50. This reflects analysts’ expectations for continued strength in the company’s regulated utilities and a favorable industry outlook, despite recent volatility in markets and credit spreads.
Analysis Article • Oct 15

There Is A Reason ATCO Ltd.'s (TSE:ACO.X) Price Is Undemanding

When close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider ATCO...
Analysis Article • Oct 01

ATCO (TSE:ACO.X) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
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New Narrative • Jun 29

Canadian Housing And Energy Trends Will Drive Future Opportunity

Expanding modular housing and international acquisitions position ATCO for revenue diversification and higher-margin growth across global infrastructure and energy markets.
Analysis Article • Jun 22

ATCO (TSE:ACO.X) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:ACO.X - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20286,9456027433,0101
12/31/20276,208564-5982,7892
12/31/20265,731535-4462,6372
3/31/20265,1581586612,456N/A
12/31/20255,1431506442,484N/A
9/30/20255,1434314642,439N/A
6/30/20255,0754393632,349N/A
3/31/20255,0294274872,400N/A
12/31/20244,9424303932,197N/A
9/30/20244,7733874942,109N/A
6/30/20244,7153855972,117N/A
3/31/20244,7074124071,965N/A
12/31/20234,7414324001,965N/A
9/30/20234,8684184962,132N/A
6/30/20234,9683984042,082N/A
3/31/20235,0254096272,262N/A
12/31/20224,9783708132,396N/A
9/30/20224,9003888422,242N/A
6/30/20224,7193699092,170N/A
3/31/20224,5282916072,008N/A
12/31/20214,2892465181,864N/A
9/30/20214,0722135101,800N/A
6/30/20213,9922155341,786N/A
3/31/20213,9602488321,809N/A
12/31/20203,9442528151,843N/A
9/30/20204,0732696741,808N/A
6/30/20204,2733756851,890N/A
3/31/20204,4384884981,762N/A
12/31/20194,706513N/A1,542N/A
9/30/20194,698565N/A1,475N/A
6/30/20194,712520N/A1,315N/A
3/31/20194,712350N/A1,061N/A
12/31/20184,888328N/A999N/A
9/30/20185,060225N/A910N/A
6/30/20185,011155N/A864N/A
3/31/20184,977209N/A1,060N/A
12/31/20174,600219N/A1,331N/A
9/30/20174,386287N/A1,506N/A
6/30/20174,247312N/A1,864N/A
3/31/20174,110331N/A1,932N/A
12/31/20164,045340N/A1,790N/A
9/30/20164,040239N/A1,727N/A
6/30/20164,102222N/A1,593N/A
3/31/20164,117169N/A1,585N/A
12/31/20154,131154N/A1,680N/A
9/30/20154,180249N/A1,645N/A
6/30/20154,233329N/A1,646N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ACO.X's forecast earnings growth (30.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: ACO.X's earnings (30.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (10.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ACO.X's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ACO.X's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (5.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ACO.X's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ACO.X's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/15 05:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/15 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ATCO Ltd. is covered by 8 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin PhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Mark JarviCIBC Capital Markets
Mark JarviDesjardins Securities Inc.